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Quick market read from this story
Crypto perps platform Hyperliquid saw over $11.5 billion in trading volume during a weekend of geopolitical events
Traditional finance investors used crypto rails for 24/7 trading of tokenized assets like crude oil and gold
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan now expects traditional finance to adopt on-chain trading much sooner than his previous 5-10 year estimate
The NYSE is developing a 24/7 tokenization platform, indicating broader TradFi interest in blockchain infrastructure.
Deep Dive
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has significantly revised his timeline for the widespread adoption of on-chain finance. He observed a surge in investor activity on crypto platforms like Hyperliquid for trading tokenized assets during the recent US-Israel tensions concerning Iran.
During the weekend of the initial attack on Iran, when traditional stock exchanges in the US, Europe, and Asia were closed, the crypto derivatives platform Hyperliquid emerged as a central venue for trading real-world assets. Hougan noted that for most of Sunday, on-chain finance was the focal point of global financial activity.
Previously, Hougan anticipated a five-to-10-year timeframe for traditional markets to transition to on-chain operations. However, the events of that weekend convinced him that this shift will occur much more rapidly. He highlighted that blockchain's 24/7 trading capabilities render traditional stock exchanges and T+1 settlement systems obsolete.
Hyperliquid experienced substantial trading volume, exceeding $11.5 billion across Saturday and Sunday for real-world asset (RWA) trading. Hougan pointed out that media outlets, such as Bloomberg, cited Hyperliquid's crude oil contract as the most relevant price indicator when reporting on the market's reaction to the geopolitical events.
Beyond crude oil, other tokenized assets also saw significant activity. Tether Gold (XAUt), Tether's tokenized gold product, recorded a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $300 million. Additionally, trading volumes on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket experienced an increase.
In January, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and its parent company, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), announced plans to introduce 24/7 trading and instant settlement for stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) using a blockchain-based post-trade system. This system is intended to support multi-chain functionality and custody features.
However, details regarding the launch timeline, the specific blockchain to be used, and whether the platform would operate in a permissionless or permissioned environment have not yet been disclosed.
Hougan concluded that currently, hedge funds, banks, and other investors seeking competitive trading options must adopt stablecoin wallets and familiarize themselves with trading on crypto derivatives platforms like Hyperliquid.
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Korean stock markets (Kospi, Kosdaq) dropped over 10%, triggering circuit breakers due to Middle East conflict. Global stock markets experienced significant losses, with Japan's Nikkei down nearly 4% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 3%. Crude oil prices surged, with Brent up 14% and WTI up 12%, impacting oil-importing nations like South Korea. Crypto market capitalization saw a minor dip of 0.5% despite the broader geopolitical shock.
Former LAPD officer convicted of kidnapping and stealing $350K in Bitcoin. Conviction stems from a 2024 home invasion where victim was threatened with death. Case highlights the increasing trend of violent 'wrench attacks' targeting crypto holders. CertiK reported a 75% increase in wrench attacks globally in 2025.
Indiana governor signed House Bill 1042 into law, allowing crypto in retirement plans. State retirement and savings plans must offer crypto investment options by July 2027. Bill also bars public agencies from enforcing rules against crypto payments, self-custody, or mining. Clarifies non-custodial transfers do not require a money transmitter license.
48.3% of AI models chose Bitcoin as their top monetary instrument in a Bitcoin Policy Institute study. 79.1% of AI models preferred Bitcoin for preserving purchasing power over multi-year horizons. Stablecoins were preferred for payment scenarios and cross-border transfers by 53.2% of AI models. 91% of AI models chose a digital instrument over fiat currency.
Former Trump advisor David Bailey states US government support for Bitcoin needs to move beyond rhetoric to tangible actions. The US government has yet to begin accumulating Bitcoin for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, despite an executive order. Bailey believes Bitcoin will succeed regardless of government action, but government support could accelerate its success. The CLARITY Act and market structure are also mentioned as potential regulatory developments.
472 million XRP, valued at $652 million, moved to Binance, marking record February inflows. XRP is exhibiting resilience with higher highs and higher lows despite macro headwinds. Analysts suggest XRP is at a liquidity crossroads, facing potential volatility due to exchange inflows and macro risks. XRP transactions are confirmed immutable by Ripple CTO.
Upbit has listed the EDGE token. Trading pairs include KRW, BTC, and USDT. EDGE is an on-chain trading platform aggregator.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.4 billion in inflows over 5 days. Bitfinex analysts suggest ETF inflows may not translate to immediate spot market buying. ETF creation/redemption mechanics can cause a lag between demand and actual BTC purchases. This lag may explain Bitcoin's price stagnation despite significant ETF inflows.
Binance plans to secure five additional regulatory licenses in Asia this year. Asia-Pacific region saw a 69% year-over-year increase in crypto transaction volume, reaching $2.36 trillion. Binance's strategy involves hyperlocalization to adapt operations to local regulatory standards. Seven Asian nations are among the top 10 in Chainalysis' Global Crypto Adoption Index.
Selling pressure on Bitcoin has subsided as BTC approaches $70,000 after a drop to $59,000. Analysts at 10x Research suggest the worst phase of selling may be over, citing stable price action despite negative news. Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating potential for a larger move, but the long-term trend remains bearish due to macro factors. Derivatives market funding rates and potential short squeezes are identified as key drivers of recent price stabilization.
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22 of 36 top AI models favored Bitcoin over fiat in simulated economic tests No AI models selected fiat as their preferred currency AI models evaluated Bitcoin's properties for store of value, payments, and settlement efficiency
XRP experienced a 45% price drop in the past month, but network activity increased by 30%. Three AI models project XRP prices ranging from $1.50-$2 (utility-driven), $3-$5 (cyclical growth), to potential double-digit figures (liquidity shock scenario). Future price action depends on institutional adoption, broader market cycles, and XRP Ledger utility growth. Short-term price movements are heavily influenced by market sentiment, while long-term trends align with utility and adoption.
Circle minted $1 billion in USDC on Solana in hours. Total 2026 USDC issuance on Solana reaches $23.75 billion. Minting fuels liquidity for trading, DeFi, and new token launches on Solana. Surge viewed as significant 'dry powder' for market deployment.
Ethereum validator queue reaches 3.4 million ETH, a significant increase from 904,000 ETH in early January. New validators face an estimated 60-day wait to activate, indicating strong demand for staking. This surge suggests investors are choosing to stake ETH for yield rather than sell in current market conditions.
Tether's US stablecoin (USAT) passed its first independent reserve check by Deloitte. Reserves for USAT were $17.6 million against $17.5 million in circulation, a 100.57% backing ratio. Deloitte's attestation is for USAT reserves only, not Tether's broader operations. USAT is positioned as a regulated competitor to USDC in the US institutional market.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse supports the Clarity Act, stating it protects American interests. White House warns banks against obstructing the Clarity Act while reporting record profits. Garlinghouse estimates an 80-90% probability of the Clarity Act passing by April 2026. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong visited the White House amid ongoing regulatory discussions.
Polymarket archived nuclear detonation market after public backlash and accusations of insider trading. Over $838,000 in volume was traded on the controversial market before it was pulled. The CFTC is advancing formal rulemaking for prediction markets amid mounting overseas bans. Accusations of insider trading on war and conflict markets are drawing attention from US lawmakers and international regulators.
Binance aims to secure five new regulatory licenses in Asia this year. The exchange is expanding its presence in the growing Asia-Pacific crypto market. Binance currently holds approvals in Australia, India, Indonesia, Japan, New Zealand, and Thailand. South Korea is expected to be added following the Gopax acquisition.
Bitcoin failed to hold $70,000, now trading around $67,600. Ether and Solana experienced declines, with Solana being the worst weekly performer. Asian equities saw significant drops, with South Korean stocks at multi-year lows due to Middle East tensions. Market sentiment is cautious, awaiting clarity on the Iran situation and its impact on traditional markets and oil prices.
Pantera-backed Solana Company launches Pacific Backbone infrastructure expansion in APAC. Project aims to improve Solana staking, validator operations, and performance for market makers. Company holds over 2.2 million SOL and shifts strategy from treasury to active staking and liquidity services. HSDT shares fell 8.3% following the announcement, with broader crypto stocks also trading lower.
Ripple expands payments platform to offer end-to-end stablecoin infrastructure. New capabilities include managed custody, virtual account collections, and fiat-to-stablecoin settlement. Ripple's payments platform has processed over $100 billion in total volume. The expansion positions Ripple as a single provider for enterprise digital asset payments across 60 markets.
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