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Quick market read from this story
38% of altcoins are trading near all-time lows, a deeper slide than post-FTX
ALTS/BTC monthly MACD has remained green for three consecutive months, a first this cycle
A high percentage of altcoins near ATL combined with improving momentum suggests potential for a wider move
Capital rotation back into altcoins against Bitcoin is a key feature of altcoin season.
Deep Dive
Fresh attention is being drawn to the possibility of an altcoin season as a significant portion of altcoins trade near their all-time lows, a situation more severe than the post-FTX collapse period. Data indicates that 38% of altcoins are currently near historic lows, surpassing the 37.8% observed after the FTX event and the 35% in April 2025. This deep pressure across the sector, with many smaller coins falling back to levels not seen in months, suggests that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion.
Demand has slowed, and trading activity remains light, with liquidity in the crypto market being fragile as funds have shifted towards equities and commodities. This has made it difficult for altcoins to attract new capital, leading investors to remain cautious and reduce exposure to smaller coins. Despite the current price weakness, the extensive drawdowns in altcoins could signal a potential base before a wider market move. Historically, strong rallies have often commenced when market interest is low and prices move quietly before momentum builds.
A key technical indicator, the ALTS/BTC monthly MACD, has remained green for three consecutive months, a first for the current cycle. This signal, last observed in 2021, preceded a significant rally for altcoins against Bitcoin. The MACD, used to track momentum and trend direction, suggests that the downside pressure on altcoin projections may be diminishing. While price action has not yet confirmed a broad breakout, the divergence between weak spot prices and improving momentum has captured market attention.
The potential shift in ALTS/BTC dominance is also a focal point for altcoin season discussions. After a period where Bitcoin has largely outperformed, the relative chart is showing signs of stabilization. A sustained increase in ALTS/BTC would indicate a rotation of capital back into alternative tokens, a critical characteristic of an altcoin season. Although investors remain cautious and await clearer confirmation, the combination of a high percentage of tokens near all-time lows, the positive monthly MACD, and early signs of dominance shifts has reignited the altcoin season debate. While altseason is not yet confirmed, the market is observing closely as pressure appears to be easing.
Source, catalyst, and sector overlap from the latest feed.
Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) will exit Aave DAO governance after a contested vote. ACI plans to wind down operations over four months, transferring responsibilities. The exit follows a dispute over a $42.5 million funding package and voting power concerns. Aave maintains a dominant DeFi position with $26.51 billion in total value locked.
XRPL adoption is growing with tokenized funds and stablecoins, but XRP price has not reflected this due to stablecoins handling most settlement. XRP demand for fees and reserves provides a baseline utility, but does not scale with transaction value. XRP's price upside hinges on becoming the primary liquidity bridge for market makers and institutions. Spot XRP ETFs have locked up over $1 billion, reducing XRP's free float and potentially tightening supply.
F2Pool founder Chun Wang withdrew $67.5M worth of ETH from Binance over two weeks. Wang deposited the ETH into the AAVE DeFi protocol, indicating active use rather than simple holding. ETH validator entry queue is 36,000 times larger than the exit queue, signaling strong net inflows and staking demand. Historical March data shows ETH has a tendency for rallies, though performance varies year-to-year.
Key Insights: The XRP price slid below $1.50 after more than 650 million tokens were moved to Binance in a single week. On-chain data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost showed a sharp spike in exchange inflows. Historically, rising inflows have often signaled mounting selling pressure. The move came during rising geopolitical tension involving the United […] The post XRP Price Slides Below $1.50 After Exchange Inflow Spike – What’s Next? appeared first on The Coin Republic.
Whales are reaccumulating Bitcoin, with exchange inflows hitting highs not seen since 2022. Short-term holders are showing reduced selling pressure, indicating potential seller exhaustion. Thin sell-side liquidity suggests Bitcoin could rapidly move towards $76,000 with increased capital inflow. Bitcoin demonstrated resilience as a potential haven asset during geopolitical tensions, outperforming traditional markets.
Bitcoin failed to hold $70,000, now trading around $67,600. Ether and Solana experienced declines, with Solana being the worst weekly performer. Asian equities saw significant drops, with South Korean stocks at multi-year lows due to Middle East tensions. Market sentiment is cautious, awaiting clarity on the Iran situation and its impact on traditional markets and oil prices.
Vitalik Buterin advocates for Ethereum to expand beyond DeFi into privacy, social systems, and open infrastructure. The vision is to create 'sanctuary technologies' resilient to centralized control. Debate exists on whether Ethereum should focus on DeFi or broader infrastructure. Some argue for a return to Ethereum's original purpose of open systems for identity and coordination.
48.3% of AI models chose Bitcoin as their top monetary instrument in a Bitcoin Policy Institute study. 79.1% of AI models preferred Bitcoin for preserving purchasing power over multi-year horizons. Stablecoins were preferred for payment scenarios and cross-border transfers by 53.2% of AI models. 91% of AI models chose a digital instrument over fiat currency.
Former Trump advisor David Bailey states US government support for Bitcoin needs to move beyond rhetoric to tangible actions. The US government has yet to begin accumulating Bitcoin for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, despite an executive order. Bailey believes Bitcoin will succeed regardless of government action, but government support could accelerate its success. The CLARITY Act and market structure are also mentioned as potential regulatory developments.
Ethereum staking entry queue reaches 3.4 million ETH, creating an estimated 60-day backlog. Demand for staking is driven by corporates and exchanges seeking yield on large ETH holdings. This represents a shift from late 2025 when the exit queue was significantly larger. Analysts suggest this indicates a more defensive institutional stance and potential for ETH outperformance due to payments and AI narratives.
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Polymarket archived nuclear detonation market after public backlash and accusations of insider trading. Over $838,000 in volume was traded on the controversial market before it was pulled. The CFTC is advancing formal rulemaking for prediction markets amid mounting overseas bans. Accusations of insider trading on war and conflict markets are drawing attention from US lawmakers and international regulators.
Binance aims to secure five new regulatory licenses in Asia this year. The exchange is expanding its presence in the growing Asia-Pacific crypto market. Binance currently holds approvals in Australia, India, Indonesia, Japan, New Zealand, and Thailand. South Korea is expected to be added following the Gopax acquisition.
Ripple expands payments platform to offer end-to-end stablecoin infrastructure. New capabilities include managed custody, virtual account collections, and fiat-to-stablecoin settlement. Ripple's payments platform has processed over $100 billion in total volume. The expansion positions Ripple as a single provider for enterprise digital asset payments across 60 markets.
Crypto perps platform Hyperliquid saw over $11.5 billion in trading volume during a weekend of geopolitical events. Traditional finance investors used crypto rails for 24/7 trading of tokenized assets like crude oil and gold. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan now expects traditional finance to adopt on-chain trading much sooner than his previous 5-10 year estimate. The NYSE is developing a 24/7 tokenization platform, indicating broader TradFi interest in blockchain infrastructure.
Polymarket has removed nuclear detonation prediction markets due to public outcry and scrutiny. Concerns about insider trading on war and military actions have intensified. Previous nuclear detonation markets had significant trading volume, with one contract showing a 19% implied chance in 2023. Regulators are considering rules to bar event contracts tied to war and other sensitive topics.
Bitcoin rebounds toward $70,000 driven by short-covering after geopolitical fears did not escalate. BTC ETFs attracted $1.45 billion in net inflows over the past five trading days. On-chain and derivatives data show improving spot demand but cautious positioning. Momentum indicators are recovering but remain below neutral levels, indicating hesitant market conviction.
Donald Trump backs CLARITY Act, warns banks against undermining US crypto agenda. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse calls Trump's message 'extremely pointed' regarding crypto legislation delays. US political figures and industry voices express urgency for crypto market structure legislation. Regulatory clarity is cited as crucial for US firms to compete internationally and foster innovation.
ECB warns stablecoin adoption undermines eurozone monetary policy transmission and financial stability. ECB estimates a 10% stablecoin market cap increase reduces bank lending by 0.2%. Widespread stablecoin adoption could import US monetary conditions to Europe due to dollar backing. ECB projects accelerated effects if stablecoin market cap reaches $2-4 trillion by 2030.
Australia could gain $17 billion annually from tokenized markets and digital assets with regulatory progress. Current trajectory without regulatory changes projects only $710 million in gains by 2030. Key recommendations include a regulatory sandbox for testing tokenized financial market use cases. Tokenized government bonds and CBDCs are suggested for deployment within the sandbox.
22 of 36 AI models preferred Bitcoin over fiat and other digital assets in simulations. No AI model selected fiat currency as its top monetary preference. Stablecoins were favored for medium of exchange and settlement roles (53.2% and 43%) over Bitcoin (36% and 30.9%). Anthropic models showed the strongest Bitcoin preference at 68.0%.
Donald Trump criticizes banks for stalling the crypto market structure bill (GENIUS Act/CLARITY Act). Banks are lobbying against stablecoin yield payments, citing risks to the banking system. The GENIUS Act aims to regulate stablecoins but bans direct yield payments to holders. House Representative French Hill suggests the Senate adopt the House's CLARITY Act if no agreement is reached.
Colombian Supreme Court rejected an appeal based on AI detection, only for its own ruling to be flagged by the same tools. AI detection software has demonstrated unreliable and inconsistent results, flagging human-written text as AI-generated. Experts and studies confirm the inaccuracy of AI detection tools, with some universities disabling them. Colombia's judicial branch has issued guidelines regulating AI use, emphasizing human review for sensitive tasks.
Ray Dalio expresses skepticism about Bitcoin's role as a safe-haven asset and digital gold. Dalio cites Bitcoin's lack of central bank support, privacy concerns, and quantum computing vulnerability. He contrasts Bitcoin with gold, highlighting gold's established status as a reserve currency and safe haven. Dalio previously suggested a 15% portfolio allocation to Bitcoin or gold for risk-return optimization.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price has fallen to 2023 levels with successive technical failures. XRP shows a modest attempt at stabilization with a short-term rising support line, but overall trend remains negative. Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating below $70,000 after bouncing from $63,000, with increasing volume supporting the recovery. Market sentiment is weak due to institutional uncertainty and low retail liquidity.
Signal context only. Validate with price action, liquidity, and risk limits before taking a position.
