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Quick market read from this story
Bitcoin price jumped over 5% to around $72,000 on Wednesday
Technical analysis suggests a symmetrical triangle breakout could target $80,000 in March
An unfilled CME futures gap exists between $79,660 and $81,210, acting as a potential magnet
Polymarket odds show increased conviction for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in March.
Deep Dive
Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are targeting a return to the $80,000 level in March, supported by several indicators suggesting increased upside momentum. The cryptocurrency saw a significant jump of over 5% on Wednesday, nearing $72,000.
Bitcoin's price action on Wednesday appeared to invalidate a bearish chart pattern, a bear pennant. The BTC/USD pair broke above the pennant's upper trend line, accompanied by a rise in trading volume, signaling stronger conviction in the upward movement. This breakout also increased the likelihood of a bullish reversal pattern known as a symmetrical triangle.
A symmetrical triangle is characterized by lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of consolidation. Typically, the price will break out of this range, moving a distance equivalent to the triangle's widest point. For Bitcoin, the triangle's range spans from approximately $63,000 to $71,000–$72,000. A standard measured move from this pattern, if the breakout is sustained, suggests a potential target of around $80,000 in March. This level also coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day exponential moving average (100-day EMA).
The immediate resistance for BTC is the 50-day EMA, located near $74,400. A failure to surpass this level could lead to a pullback towards the 20-day EMA, which is around $68,700.
The $80,000 target derived from the symmetrical triangle pattern aligns with an unfilled CME futures gap. This gap, which has existed since early February, ranges from approximately $79,660 to $81,210. CME gaps occur when the futures market closes over the weekend, and the spot price moves significantly, leaving an empty price zone upon reopening.
Historically, nine out of the last ten CME gaps have been filled since August 2025. This track record suggests that traders may view the $79,660–$81,210 region as a significant target as spot and futures prices converge.
The crypto-based prediction market, Polymarket, indicates a growing bullish sentiment for Bitcoin in March. Currently, traders assign a 40% probability that Bitcoin will reach $80,000 by the end of March, a notable increase from 20% the previous day. The $75,000 price target holds even stronger conviction at 70%, up from 40% yesterday.
Concurrently, the odds for Bitcoin reaching lower price points like $65,000 and $60,000 in March have decreased, suggesting a general reduction in downside expectations among market participants.
Source, catalyst, and sector overlap from the latest feed.
South Korea proposes capping major shareholder stakes in crypto exchanges at 20% Exchanges will have three years to comply, with potential extensions for smaller platforms Major exchanges like Upbit and Bithumb currently exceed the proposed ownership limit The move could impact competition and innovation within the South Korean crypto market
XRP price shows potential breakout from symmetrical triangle targeting $1.95. Spot XRP ETFs recorded $7.53 million in net inflows on Tuesday, marking five consecutive days of net inflows. Cumulative XRP ETF inflows reach nearly $1.25 billion with AUM at $1 billion. Analysts suggest a weekly close above the 200-week EMA and $1.55 could shift momentum.
Kraken Financial is the first crypto company to receive a master account from the US Federal Reserve. This grants Kraken direct access to the Fed's payment systems, moving money on the same rails as banks. The approval signifies a potentially softer regulatory tone from the Fed towards the crypto industry. Kraken's banking unit does not receive full banking privileges like interest on reserves.
Nobitex, Iran's largest crypto exchange, showed no signs of user-driven capital flight post-strike. TRM Labs attributes spike in Nobitex wallet activity to routine liquidity management, not panic withdrawals. Chainalysis reported $10.3 million in digital assets left Iranian exchanges between Feb. 28 and March 2. Hourly outflows from Iranian exchanges briefly surged over 873% higher than the 2026 average.
FATF identifies P2P stablecoin transfers via self-custody wallets as a key vulnerability for AML oversight. Stablecoins accounted for 84% of illicit transaction volume in 2025, according to Chainalysis. FATF urges countries to assess risks and apply proportionate safeguards for stablecoin arrangements. Illicit activity remains a small share of total on-chain volume, less than 1%.
Solana casinos are gaining popularity due to the network's fast transactions and low fees. Several crypto casinos are highlighted for supporting SOL deposits and withdrawals. Platforms offer diverse game libraries, crypto bonuses, and fast payouts for SOL players.
Ethereum Smart DCA indicator shows a surge, historically signaling accumulation phases. ETH price is forming higher lows and testing the $2.1K resistance level. Analyst charts indicate a consolidation structure with support near $1,800 and resistance around $2,100. Breakout above $2,100 is needed to shift short-term momentum.
XRP Ledger payment volume decreased by 70% after a 400% surge. The decline is attributed to normalization after a spike in large internal transfers, not network weakness. XRP price is consolidating around $1.40, showing cautious stabilization. Recovery above $1.45-$1.50 resistance is key for further upside.
Bitcoin reached a one-month high, surpassing $71,000, driven by geopolitical stability hopes and potential US regulatory clarity. The Clarity Act, aimed at legalizing stablecoins, is speculated to be nearing passage, potentially benefiting altcoins. Bitcoin's oversold condition prior to recent geopolitical events has likely revived investor interest, including institutional inflows into spot ETFs. Traders anticipate continued volatility, especially if the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, impacting oil prices.
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Suzlon shares fell below ₹40, reaching a two-year low. The company announced a leadership restructuring with Ajay Kapur appointed as group CEO. Despite the price drop, multiple brokers maintain a 'Buy' rating with a target price of ₹60. The leadership overhaul aims to transition Suzlon into an integrated renewable energy solutions provider.
Tether invested $50 million in sleep technology startup Eight Sleep. Eight Sleep will use the funding to develop new AI health features using Tether's QVAC architecture. This investment marks Tether's expansion beyond crypto into longevity and AI. Tether reported over $10 billion in net profits through 2025, channeling earnings into venture investments.
Ray Dalio warns Bitcoin cannot replace gold as a safe-haven. Gold gains amid market stress while Bitcoin drops 45% from recent highs.
The South Korean stock market (KOSPI) closed near 5,094 after falling 12.06% in a single session today. The index had already fallen 7.24% the prior session, taking the two-day slide to roughly 18.4% on a compounded basis. South Korean equities did not fall alone, but the magnitude set Korea apart in a global risk-off window. […] The post Bitcoin surges past $71,000 during a record South Korean stock market crash of 18% this week appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Iranian crypto market activity surged 873% above normal levels following regional airstrikes. Individuals and organizations are moving funds out of Iranian exchanges for safety and to bypass restrictions. High inflation and currency devaluation are driving Iranians to crypto as a financial hedge. The Iranian government utilizes crypto to mitigate economic pressure from international sanctions.
White House advisor Patrick Witt disputes JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's claims on yield-bearing stablecoins. Witt argues stablecoin issuers under the GENIUS Act cannot lend reserves, unlike banks. The dispute is stalling the passage of the broader CLARITY Act for U.S. crypto regulation. Coinbase offers 3.5% yield on USDC, a rate traditional banks struggle to match.
Morgan Stanley updated its SEC filing for a Bitcoin Trust ETF. BNY Mellon named as administrator and cash custodian. Coinbase Custody to safeguard bitcoin holdings. Trust will hold physical bitcoin and track its value via CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark.
CFTC Chair Mike Selig indicates U.S. perpetual futures are expected within the next month. This regulatory clarity could bring institutional capital back to the U.S. derivatives market. Onchain perps leader Hyperliquid faces both opportunity from increased demand and threat from regulated U.S. alternatives. Perpetual futures volume is expected to increase, with potential for both onchain and centralized venues to capture growth.
Dogecoin trading below $0.0932 and 100-hour SMA, indicating bearish short-term outlook. Bears control DOGE price action since losing the $0.10 level. Key resistance at $0.0920 and $0.0932 must be cleared for potential recovery. Breakdown below $0.0885 could accelerate losses towards $0.0850 and $0.0800.
Shiba Inu price increased by 6.35% in the last 24 hours. Shiba Inu burn rate surged by 53,954% in the past day. 841,084 SHIB tokens were burned, reducing total supply. Exchange reserves for SHIB decreased significantly, indicating increased buying activity.
White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt rejects Jamie Dimon's view on regulating yield-bearing stablecoins as banks. Witt argues the Genius Act prevents stablecoin issuers from lending reserves, differentiating them from traditional banks. The debate centers on whether yield-bearing stablecoins should face bank-like regulations including capital and liquidity rules.
Tata Steel shares dropped 8% to ₹194.43 due to geopolitical tensions impacting metal markets. Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz blockade caused supply disruption concerns, driving aluminum prices higher. Qatalum suspended production due to natural gas shortages linked to the Iran conflict. Broader sell-off observed in cyclical stocks like Vedanta and Hindustan Zinc.
Key Insights: Ethena price went up 7% over the last 24 hours. Sounds good at first. The token reached $0.115 on March 3, 2026. Traders got a bit excited. But there’s a problem. Ethena crypto rally stopped at a key level. It couldn’t break through $0.1196. That number matters a lot for the chart pattern. […] The post Ethena Price 7% Bounce Fails to Turn Bullish: Here’s Why a 20% Drop Looms appeared first on The Coin Republic.
Market infrastructure operators DTCC, Euroclear, and Clearstream highlight interoperability as crucial for tokenized securities adoption. Lack of interoperability between DLT and traditional finance systems risks higher costs and fragmented liquidity. The industry needs agreed-upon standards for seamless asset movement across diverse blockchain and legacy systems. The goal is 'same asset, same rights, same outcome' across all platforms.
Dubai stock market fell 5% on Wednesday after a two-day closure. Banks, property, and energy sectors led the declines. Regional volatility and geopolitical tensions are impacting UAE markets. Market cap of Abu Dhabi and Dubai exchanges lost billions in value.
CFTC eyes April approval for bringing true perpetual futures onshore to the US. Potential approval could shift significant derivatives volume from offshore to US-regulated venues. Onshore perps aim to improve US price discovery, risk management, and reduce counterparty concentration. Broader scenario suggests US derivatives volume could reach $8.5-12.8 billion daily if scalability is achieved.
Signal context only. Validate with price action, liquidity, and risk limits before taking a position.
