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Crypto markets declined as geopolitical tensions escalated following reports of a US-Israel strike on Iran
Bitcoin dropped to around $66,127 from a brief high of $68,000
Ethereum fell to near $1,947, down approximately 2.46% in 24 hours
Investors moved towards traditional safe-haven assets like oil, gold, and silver, indicating reduced risk appetite for crypto.
Deep Dive
Crypto markets experienced a downturn following reports that the United States and Israel conducted a significant strike on Iran, resulting in the reported death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. This geopolitical event triggered investor nervousness globally, impacting digital assets alongside traditional markets.
Initial attempts by Bitcoin to rally towards $68,000 on Sunday were short-lived as uncertainty grew. Hopes for an orderly transition of power through a temporary leadership council were overshadowed by President Donald Trump's statements indicating continued U.S. strikes until objectives were met. This escalation dampened market sentiment, signaling a potentially prolonged period of tension rather than a quick resolution.
Bitcoin (BTC) saw a decline from its earlier peak of over $68,000, falling to approximately $66,127, marking a roughly 1% drop in the session. While still slightly higher than the previous week, the price was significantly below the previous month's levels, reflecting a common investor reaction to increased uncertainty: reducing exposure to risk assets. Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) briefly surpassed $2,000 before retreating to around $1,947, down approximately 2.46% in 24 hours. The general sentiment indicated that crypto was not being treated as a safe-haven asset during this period of heightened geopolitical risk.

Amidst the crypto market's decline, oil prices surged, and traditional safe-haven assets saw increased demand. The rise in oil prices was attributed to concerns over potential supply disruptions, with traders pricing in risk proactively. Bloomberg reported that oil experienced its largest one-day increase in approximately four years, indicating a market sentiment focused on potential supply squeezes. Concurrently, major Asian stock indexes like Japan's Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index moved lower. This simultaneous rise in energy prices and fall in equities suggested that investors anticipated broader economic repercussions from the geopolitical events.
Caroline Mauron of Orbit Markets noted the market's sustained attention on oil, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz. The prevailing gloomy market mood led to sellers dominating, pushing prices lower, with ETH trading near $1,947, down about 2.46% over 24 hours. This behavior reinforced the perception of crypto as a risk-on asset rather than a secure store of value during times of geopolitical instability.
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Shiba Inu exchange netflows recorded -157 billion SHIB, indicating accumulation in private wallets. A large whale withdrew 65.2 billion SHIB ($394,000) from CoinOne exchange, marking its first withdrawal in months. SHIB exhibits a strong negative correlation with Bitcoin, suggesting a potential rebound as BTC recovers. Drying liquidity on exchanges and significant whale transactions hint at an incoming price rebound for SHIB.
X (formerly Twitter) now allows sponsored crypto promotions with a mandatory 'Paid Partnership' label, though restrictions apply in the EU, UK, and Australia. The platform is also developing X Money and Smart Cashtags for integrated trading.
Ethereum's price has fallen 60% from its 2025 high, with DEX volumes down 55% in six months. However, the network still dominates DeFi TVL (65% with L2s) and sees continued institutional building, positioning it for potential future demand.
During a geopolitical crisis involving the US and Iran, Bitcoin saw a sharp decline to $63,000 while gold surged to $5,400. The event challenged Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative, as investors favored traditional gold and tokenized gold over BTC during the peak fear. This demonstrated a clear risk-off sentiment, with crypto behaving more like equities than a safe-haven asset.
New Bitcoin whales have accumulated $120 billion worth of BTC at an average price of $98,000, despite the current price struggling around $65,000. This significant buying pressure during price dips is being interpreted by some as a bullish signal mirroring past rallies, while others view it as a potential trap given recent exchange inflows.
Fundstrat's Tom Lee predicts a market-wide revival in March. Lee reiterates a $200,000-$250,000 target for Bitcoin in 2026. Ethereum is projected to reach $7,000-$9,000 by early 2026. AI-driven productivity, strong corporate earnings, and government support are cited as key drivers.
Bitcoin has fallen below significant moving averages, indicating potential for increased downside pressure. Shiba Inu shows a hidden bullish divergence on momentum indicators despite a bearish price trend. XRP's rising trendline support around $1.30 has been invalidated, leaving it in a vulnerable phase. The market is experiencing weak demand and uncertainty, with short-term bounces risking further selling opportunities.
Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP from escrow, valued at approximately $1.377 billion. XRP price saw minimal reaction, rising 0.9% post-unlock, despite a 16.45% drop in February. Solana led market rebound with an 11% price surge to $88.89 following a $500M liquidation event. Elon Musk drew parallels between AI firm Anthropic and the collapsed FTX exchange.
Ethereum to implement Proposer-Builder Separation (ePBS) and Fork-Choice-Enforced Inclusion Lists (FOCIL) via Glamsterdam and Hegota upgrades this year. ePBS aims to decentralize block building and mitigate MEV, while FOCIL will prevent transaction censorship. Cardano's upcoming Midnight sidechain will offer similar privacy and transaction separation benefits. ETH and ADA prices are showing positive movement, influenced by broader market rallies and Bitcoin's performance.
Solana price is consolidating within a three-week triangle pattern. A break above $88.60 resistance is eyed as a key signal for potential upside. Solana has reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud on the four-hour chart for the first time since January. Moving averages (50 MA crossing 100 MA) also indicate a short-term momentum shift.
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US Senate advances housing bill including a provision to ban central bank digital currency (CBDC) issuance until end of 2030. White House formally backs the bill, indicating President Trump would sign it if it reaches his desk. The CBDC ban is embedded within a broader housing package, a strategic move by House conservatives. Federal Reserve has previously stated any US CBDC would require explicit congressional approval and remains exploratory.

Iranian crypto outflows surged over 700% to over $500,000 within minutes of US-Israeli airstrikes. Outflows reached nearly $3 million in one hour on Nobitex, Iran's largest crypto exchange. Internet blackouts enforced by the Iranian regime significantly curbed further outflows. TRM Labs disputes capital flight conclusion, citing a downturn in transactions and volume due to internet restrictions.

US Senate Banking Committee includes provision banning Fed CBDC issuance until 2031. Bipartisan "21st Century ROAD to Housing Act" aims to boost housing supply. White House supports the bill and explicitly backs the CBDC provision. Ban includes exceptions for private dollar-denominated currencies preserving privacy.

Deloitte has completed the first attestation report for Tether's USAT stablecoin. USAT reserves totaled $17.6 million against $17.5 million in circulating supply as of Jan. 31. USAT reserves consist of cash and U.S. Treasuries held domestically. This move aims to build trust for USAT within the U.S. regulatory framework, differentiating it from Tether's global USDT.

New biodegradable packaging film developed from milk protein, starch, and volcanic clay. Material exhibits 1,000x reduction in water vapor permeability compared to similar biopolymer films. Film fully degrades in soil within approximately 13 weeks. Potential for low-tech scaling and application in developing countries.

PayPay, holding a 40% stake in Binance Japan, is pursuing a Nasdaq IPO aiming to raise up to $1.1 billion. The IPO targets a valuation exceeding $10 billion for the Japanese payments firm. PayPay's partnership with Binance Japan aims to integrate crypto with its cashless payment services. The IPO listing was postponed due to global market volatility following geopolitical events.

US authorities are seeking to recover $327,829 in USDt linked to a romance scam. The funds were traced to cryptocurrency wallets seized by the Justice Department. Tether has frozen approximately $4.2 billion in USDt connected to illicit activities since 2023.
Bitcoin mixers enhance privacy by obscuring transaction origins through pooling and redistribution. Mixero.io offers CoinJoin with an optional Monero bridge, starting at 0.7% fees. Tornado Cash, a decentralized Ethereum mixer, has over $1 billion TVL. Wasabi Wallet integrates CoinJoin with a 0.3% coordinator fee, waived for small transactions.

Bitcoin futures open interest declined to $32 billion, lowest since August 2024 in BTC terms. Annualized premium on Bitcoin monthly futures dropped to 2%, indicating reduced demand for leveraged positions. Despite futures demand drop, CME Bitcoin futures open interest remains at $7.5 billion, suggesting institutional presence. Bitcoin options market shows balanced demand with put-to-call premiums near 0.7, indicating no major stress.

US prosecutors seek forfeiture of $327,829 in USDT linked to a crypto romance scam. Victim was defrauded after being convinced to invest in a fake cryptocurrency opportunity. Funds were laundered through multiple wallets and converted to USDT. This action follows recent warnings from US prosecutors about crypto-related romance scams.

Core Scientific reported Q4 revenue of $79.8 million, missing estimates of $122.08 million. The company posted a Q4 loss of $0.42 per share, wider than the expected $0.08 loss. Core Scientific is expanding its colocation platform and AI-focused infrastructure services. Riot Platforms reported Q4 revenue of $647.4 million, significantly exceeding estimates.

TD Securities views NYSE's tokenized equities plan as a market structure turning point for institutional adoption. The NYSE platform aims for 24-hour trading and near-instant settlement of tokenized stocks and ETFs. This development integrates blockchain settlement within existing US market rules and NBBO requirements. Tokenized assets, particularly RWAs, have seen continued capital inflows despite broader market volatility.

ETH has experienced six consecutive monthly price declines, a streak not seen since the 2018 crypto winter. Despite record network usage, ETH's price has fallen approximately 60% from its all-time high. Derivatives data shows a significant drop in ETH futures open interest and a premium on downside protection in options markets. US-listed Ethereum ETFs have seen $2.6 billion in outflows over the past four months, and major stablecoin market caps have slowed.

Bitfinex Securities is resuming USDt-denominated bond issuances on Bitcoin's Liquid Network. Previous issuances totaled $6.2 million, with four offerings and over $1.1 million in coupon payments made. The bonds offer crypto-native investors yield on USDt holdings, targeting emerging market private credit. This occurs amidst ongoing regulatory debate in the US regarding stablecoin yield products.
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