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Quick market read from this story
XRP price approaching 200-day EMA, with potential to reach $2.20 if resistance at $1.55 is broken
Liquidity on Binance for XRP has fallen to multi-year lows, indicating reduced trading volume
XRP ETFs saw increased allocation, with over $10.5 million in inflows in the last two days
Polymarket predictions show a low probability (3%) for XRP reaching $2.20 by month-end, with most bets favoring a range between $1.20 and $1.60.
Deep Dive
XRP has experienced a period of sideways price action and low volatility over the past four weeks, with robust support established near $1.33. Despite this consolidation, analysts are observing potential bullish signals for the cryptocurrency.
Ripple recently launched a stablecoin platform aimed at facilitating institutional adoption, a development that could strengthen its position as a stablecoin service provider. While this has not yet translated into significant XRP price momentum, some analysts believe the cryptocurrency may be entering an early rally phase. EGRAG Crypto suggests that XRP could push above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). A weekly close above the 200-day MA and the $1.55 price level could potentially propel XRP to $2.20. Conversely, a rejection at $1.55 might lead to a drop below $1.
The predictions market platform Polymarket shows a low probability (3%) for XRP reaching $2.20 by the end of March. More probable outcomes according to Polymarket include a retest of the $1.20 level (48% probability) or a surge to $1.60 (43% probability). There is also a 16% probability of a drop to $1. This suggests that XRP may remain within a narrow range for the upcoming weeks.
Key indicators point to a cooling of sell pressure, but also weak demand. XRP's 30-day liquidity on Binance has fallen to levels not seen since late 2021, reflecting a broader market trend of declining trading volumes. However, this declining liquidity could signal a bullish comeback if volumes begin to rise.
Data from large-order book statistics indicate potential positioning for an upside move by whales. Over the last four days, whales registered approximately $2.6 million in net spot buys across major exchanges like Binance, OKX, and Coinbase. Furthermore, over $13.4 million in net long positions were registered in the derivatives market during the same period.
XRP ETFs have also seen increased allocation, with total inflows exceeding $10.5 million in the last two days. This uptick in ETF inflows, particularly since late February, suggests that whales may be accumulating XRP at current prices, potentially forming a solid base for a future price bounce.
Source, catalyst, and sector overlap from the latest feed.
Bitwise donated an additional $233,000 to Bitcoin developers from BITB ETF profits. Total Bitcoin developer donations from Bitwise now exceed $383,000. BITB ETF has attracted approximately $2.2 billion in net inflows since its launch. Traditional finance may adopt on-chain infrastructure faster than previously anticipated.
Bitcoin price surged 7% on March 4, 2026, from $68K to $73.5K. Institutional TWAP orders totaling $790 million and $560 million in ETF inflows fueled the rally. US demand surge indicated by a $61 Coinbase premium, alongside 8,000 BTC withdrawn from exchanges. A $3.5 billion spike in derivatives leverage presents a key risk for potential liquidations.
President Trump is pressuring regulators to expedite the CLARITY Act, citing concerns about international competition. Banks are accused of hindering regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act and GENUS Act, particularly regarding stablecoin yields. Kraken has secured a Federal Reserve Master Account, granting it direct access to US core payment systems. The CLARITY Act's progress remains uncertain despite renewed political attention.
Morgan Stanley is launching its first Bitcoin Trust, partnering with Coinbase Custody and BNY Mellon. The fund's BTC will be primarily held in cold storage for enhanced security. Bitcoin price surged 8% following the announcement of Morgan Stanley's crypto move. BNY Mellon will manage fund accounting and shareholder services for the trust.
Odds of a Fed rate cut in March have fallen to 2.7% due to rising inflation concerns. CME FedWatch tool indicates a 97.3% probability of interest rates remaining unchanged. Janet Yellen warns that escalating US-Iran tensions and rising oil prices could prevent the Fed from cutting rates. Inflation is currently at 3%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target.
Japanese fintech firm launches global trade finance payment platform on XRP Ledger. XRP ETFs reach $1.1 billion in assets under management. Institutional investors show growing interest via XRP ETFs, with Bitwise ETF being the largest in the US. New infrastructure for XRP yield generation is being developed, enabling cross-chain liquidity participation.
Ether price recovered 25% to $2,200 from lows below $1,800. Net taker volume in ETH derivatives turned positive after two months, indicating fading seller dominance. Coinbase Premium Index flipped positive, signaling renewed US investor demand. Spot Ether ETFs recorded $169.4 million in inflows on Wednesday.
VanEck CEO states Bitcoin is forming a bottom, with price predictions ranging from $110,000 to $200,000. Bitcoin ETFs saw over $458 million in inflows on March 3, indicating an accumulation phase. Pepeto presale has raised over $7.5 million, offering 209% APY staking rewards. Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day (death cross) suggests consolidation before potential expansion.
SEC ends lawsuit against Justin Sun with $10 million settlement Rainberry, one of Sun's companies, will pay the $10 million fine Claims against Sun, Tron Foundation, and BitTorrent Foundation are dropped
Rainberry Inc. to pay $10 million civil penalty to settle SEC case SEC dismisses remaining claims against Justin Sun and affiliated entities Settlement resolves unregistered securities and market manipulation allegations Case resolution removes regulatory overhang for Tron founder
BlockDAG (BDAG) trading officially launched on March 5, 2026, on exchanges including Coinstore, BitMart, and Pionex USA. Market makers project BDAG could reach a top 50 market cap rank with potential for 100x growth. Uniswap (UNI) price increased 18% last week, driven by trading volume and a potential fee-burning governance update. Cardano (ADA) shows positive signs with large holders accumulating coins and a strong floor at $0.28, targeting $0.35.
Rainberry Inc. to pay $10 million fine as part of SEC settlement. SEC dismisses all charges against Justin Sun, Tron Foundation, and BitTorrent Foundation. Settlement requires Rainberry to be barred from future securities violations. SEC's case against Sun and Tron, filed in 2023, alleged federal securities law violations.
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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang indicates the end of major investments in OpenAI and Anthropic. Nvidia's decision avoids taking sides amidst escalating controversies and competition between AI labs. The company previously invested $30 billion in OpenAI and $10 billion in Anthropic. Nvidia aims to maintain neutrality as a GPU supplier to multiple AI companies.
US banking regulators mandate identical capital treatment for tokenized and traditional securities. Capital requirements will not differ based on whether securities are tokenized or not. This policy applies to securities issued on permissioned or permissionless blockchains. Regulators clarified that tokenized assets can be used as collateral with the same haircuts as traditional securities.
ETH derivatives signal professional desks hedging against downside risks due to global instability. ETH options skew indicates persistent skepticism among professional traders. Ethereum network activity and DEX volumes have declined, impacting ETH burn mechanism. Ethereum ecosystem maintains dominant TVL share despite competition from Solana and BNB Chain.
SEC proposes interpretative guidance on federal securities laws for crypto assets. Proposal aims to clarify which tokens are considered securities under SEC purview. Interpretative guidance carries more weight than staff-level statements. Move comes as crypto market structure bill progresses in US Senate.
Roblox implements AI to rephrase profanity in real-time chat instead of using hashmarks. The feature aims to maintain conversation readability and enforce community standards. Roblox is also enhancing chat filters to detect evasion tactics like leetspeak. This AI integration follows similar trends in the gaming industry for player behavior moderation.
XRP liquidity on Binance has dropped significantly to 0.097, increasing volatility risk. Shiba Inu burn rate surged 53,954% in 24 hours, coinciding with a 6.35% price increase. Rockefeller Capital Management increased its MicroStrategy (MSTR) stake by 146% to 198,283 shares.
Short seller Culper Research initiates a bearish position against ETH and BitMine (BMNR). Culper cites Ethereum's December 2025 Fusaka upgrade as impairing ETH tokenomics and reducing validator yields. Report estimates Ethereum fees have dropped approximately 90% post-upgrade. Vitalik Buterin has sold nearly 20,000 ETH this year, adding to the bearish narrative.
Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced an 8% decline in the last 24 hours, leading losses among top 100 cryptocurrencies. The meme coin category is the only top 20 market cap category in the red over the last 24 hours. Analyst suggests Dogecoin's value relies on the attention economy, not sustainable rallies. DOGE is down 87% from its 2021 all-time high of $0.73.
BlockDAG (BDAG) trading is live on Coinstore, BitMart, and Pionex USA, with market makers projecting targets of $0.2-$0.5. Aave (AAVE) shows potential for a breakout to $131 driven by whale accumulation and clearing a bullish flag formation. Chainlink (LINK) surged over 14% due to institutional adoption and integrations, with Grayscale's trust holding over $70 million. BlockDAG's DAG architecture supports 10,000 TPS, with projections of a $1.2 billion market cap and outperforming early Solana staking yields.
Illicit crypto addresses received $154 billion in 2025, a 162% year-over-year increase. Sanctioned entities accounted for $104 billion of illicit crypto flows. Iran's IRGC-linked networks moved over $3 billion in Q4 2025 to support proxies and procure equipment. North Korea-backed hackers stole over $2 billion in 2025, a record year for crypto theft.
SEC Chairman Paul Atkins supports the passage of the CLARITY Act for clear digital asset rules. Representative French Hill highlights bipartisan support for the CLARITY Act and GENIUS Act in the House. The CLARITY Act aims to provide a regulatory framework for the US cryptocurrency market. Lobbying efforts from traditional banking and crypto industries are currently delaying legislative progress.
IRS proposes mandating electronic delivery of tax forms for crypto users. Exchanges may terminate relationships with clients refusing electronic tax form delivery. Proposal prohibits retroactive revocation of consent for electronic forms. Tax compliance is a cited barrier to crypto adoption for US users.
Public Bitcoin miners have sold over 15,000 BTC since October. Sales are driven by tightening margins and debt pressure. This marks a strategic shift from the previous hold strategy. Companies like Cango, Bitdeer, Riot Platforms, and Core Scientific are among those selling.
Core Scientific secures up to $1 billion in funding from Morgan Stanley. Funding will accelerate the transition of Bitcoin mining facilities into AI data centers. The company aims to generate significantly more revenue per kilowatt-hour from AI hosting compared to Bitcoin mining. This strategic shift follows Core Scientific missing Q4 revenue estimates and a prior sale of Bitcoin holdings.
Signal context only. Validate with price action, liquidity, and risk limits before taking a position.
