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Iranians are increasing self-custody Bitcoin reserves amid geopolitical tensions and currency devaluation
Iran's crypto system valuation rose from $7.4 billion in 2024 to $7.8 billion in 2025
Approximately $10.3 million in crypto was withdrawn from Iranian exchanges to self-custody wallets following a US-Israel strike
An estimated 15 million Iranians, or 20% of the population, are involved with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Deep Dive
Iranian citizens are increasingly purchasing Bitcoin (BTC) and moving it to self-custody wallets, according to a 2026 report by Chainalysis. The report indicated an increase in Iran's crypto system valuation from $7.4 billion in 2024 to $7.8 billion in 2025. Following a US-Israel strike on Iran, users withdrew approximately $10.3 million worth of cryptocurrencies from major Iranian exchanges to crypto wallets within 48 hours. The country's largest exchange, Nobitex, experienced a 700% surge in outflows shortly after the event, which also coincided with a rise in Bitcoin outflows before and after a government-imposed internet blackout on January 8.
Bitcoin is serving as a primary financial haven for Iranians, acting as an inflationary hedge against the Rial's 90% decline since 2018 and the country's escalating inflation rate of 40-50%. Bitcoin in self-custodial wallets offers immunity from state or exchange restrictions and security breaches, such as the $90 million hack on Nobitex in mid-2025 and Tether's blacklisting of addresses. The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) has previously suspended rial-crypto conversions to protect the Rial's value and is now more accommodating under conditions of real-time user surveillance. The January internet blackout rendered exchange-based cryptocurrencies unusable, and Bitcoin's portability is beneficial for those considering leaving the country. Furthermore, cryptocurrencies facilitate cross-border remittances despite international sanctions like SWIFT disconnects. Researchers estimate that 15 million Iranians, or 20% of the population, are involved with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Iran is joining countries like Russia, Venezuela, and North Korea in adopting cryptocurrencies to circumvent international trade restrictions. Crypto firms Binance and World Liberty Financial (WLFI) are currently under Senate investigation for alleged Iran-linked transactions.
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XRP 30-day realized volatility has spiked to levels not seen since March 2025, historically preceding significant price moves. XRP open interest has collapsed by 70% from $660 million to $203 million between October 2025 and March 2026. A significant drop in XRP open interest on Binance, similar to April 2025 levels, preceded a major bottom and rally. Falling open interest combined with falling price suggests positions are being closed, potentially resetting the market for a move.
Solana price is consolidating around $84.83, holding channel support near $80-$85. Daily volume exceeds $5 billion, with buy volume showing a 24% advantage over sell volume. Whale accumulation is indicated by a strong positive delta on Binance Perps, suggesting accumulation near current levels. A daily close above $90 could target $105-$120, while a break below $80 may lead to a revisit of $70.
MARA Holdings revised treasury strategy to allow potential sale of Bitcoin holdings. Company held 53,822 BTC as of December 31, 2025. Shift from long-term holding to a more active digital asset strategy for liquidity management.
SoFi and Mastercard have partnered to utilize SoFiUSD for global payment settlements. SoFiUSD is a bank-backed stablecoin launched in December 2025, fully backed by cash reserves. The stablecoin aims to enable instant 24/7 transactions for businesses, cross-border remittances, and B2B payments. Mastercard noted the potential to leverage regulated digital currency with its existing scale.
Bitcoin functions as everyday money in parts of Africa, not just a store of value. Merchants in some African economies prefer satoshis over dollars due to rapid inflation. Sub-Saharan Africa saw over $205 billion in onchain value from July 2024 to June 2025, a 52% year-on-year increase. Retail transfers under $10,000 represent over 8% of total value sent in Sub-Saharan Africa, indicating strong retail adoption.
Strategy Inc. acquired an additional 3,015 BTC for $204 million, increasing its total holdings to 720,737 BTC. 470 million XRP were deposited on Binance in the past week, raising concerns of potential sell-offs. Dogecoin ETFs have recorded zero net inflows since February 3rd, indicating a lack of investor demand.
MARA Holdings clarifies its 10-K filing allows flexible Bitcoin sales, not a mandated sell-off strategy. Company VP Robert Samuels directly refuted claims of a shift toward a Bitcoin treasury sell-down. MARA holds 53,822 BTC valued at approximately $3.7 billion, making it a significant holder among public miners. The clarification aims to address market speculation regarding MARA's Bitcoin treasury management.
Vitalik Buterin calls for Ethereum to shift focus from tech 'shininess' to sanctuary against authoritarianism. Buterin expresses frustration over Ethereum's limited role in improving lives beyond finance. He suggests Ethereum should act as a defensive perimeter for 'sanctuary technologies'. Buterin pushes back against limiting Ethereum's scope solely to DeFi.
Visa and Bridge are expanding stablecoin card program to over 100 countries by end of 2026. MetaMask and Phantom users can spend crypto directly from self-custody wallets via Bridge's API. Visa is testing direct on-chain settlement using stablecoins on the Solana blockchain. Expansion follows recent regulatory clarity in the US with the GENIUS Act.
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Crypto industry PACs are spending millions on US party primaries for the 2026 midterm elections. The outcome of these primaries could influence future crypto legislation in Congress. Super PACs like Fairshake have significant funds and a track record of influencing elections to support pro-crypto candidates. Specific races, such as the Texas Senate primary, are seeing substantial political spending.
Donald Trump urges passage of the Clarity Act to prevent crypto industry moving overseas. Banking industry opposes stablecoin yield offerings, fearing deposit flight. Negotiations continue between banking and crypto sectors over market structure bill language. The Clarity Act aims to regulate stablecoins and market structure, with ongoing debate on yield provisions.
South Korean police arrested individuals paid in cryptocurrency for "private revenge" attacks. Payments ranged from $337-$675 or 500,000-1,000,000 KRW worth of crypto. Tactics included vandalism, threats, and spreading human waste. Authorities are investigating potential links to a larger Telegram-based organization.
CFTC Chair Michael Selig anticipates "true perpetual futures" for cryptocurrencies in the US within the next month. The CFTC is also preparing to issue guidance on prediction markets soon. Discussions on a market structure bill are ongoing, with a need for Congressional clarity for the SEC and CFTC. The CFTC aims to bring offshore liquidity back to the US by addressing these market structures.
Jamie Dimon states stablecoin issuers paying interest should be regulated as banks. Dimon argues for a level playing field between traditional banks and crypto firms offering similar services. The CLARITY Act discussions are ongoing in Washington regarding stablecoin oversight. Banks want stablecoin issuers to meet bank standards including capital, liquidity, and AML rules.
IPO Genie ($IPO) aims to democratize private market investing by tokenizing access with a $10 minimum entry. The platform utilizes AI to identify early-stage investment opportunities, similar to traditional VC firms. The $IPO token offers tiered access, revenue sharing, staking rewards, and voting rights to holders. The project has undergone security audits by CertiK and SolidProof and uses Fireblocks for asset protection.
Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) will exit Aave DAO governance after a contested vote. ACI plans to wind down operations over four months, transferring responsibilities. The exit follows a dispute over a $42.5 million funding package and voting power concerns. Aave maintains a dominant DeFi position with $26.51 billion in total value locked.
BitGo expands MiCA-compliant crypto-as-a-service to 30 EEA countries. Service enables banks and fintechs to integrate licensed custody, payments, and trading via API. Offering includes multi-asset wallets, SEPA fiat rails, and $250 million in insured custodial wallets. Expansion follows MiCA implementation, aligning with broader European institutional adoption of digital assets.
Bitcoin shows resilience decoupling from traditional equities and gold despite US dollar strength. Robust institutional demand evident with $1.5 billion in Bitcoin ETF net inflows over 7 days. Concerns arise from potential miner liquidations and a shift in focus towards AI data centers. A definitive breakout above $75,000 is needed to confirm the end of the bear market.
OpenAI released GPT-5.3 Instant, updating ChatGPT's default model for improved accuracy and conversational flow. The new model reduces unnecessary refusals and disclaimers, aiming for more direct and helpful user interactions. Internal evaluations show hallucination rates dropped by nearly 30% with web use and 19.7% without. GPT-5.2 Instant will be retired on June 3, marking a transition period for users.
The CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633) aims to provide a federal rulebook for digital assets, replacing regulation by enforcement. JPMorgan believes the bill could be a catalyst for digital assets in H2 2026 by reducing legal uncertainty and encouraging institutional adoption. Charles Hoskinson warns the bill could classify new crypto projects as securities by default, potentially pushing US founders offshore. A key point of contention is stablecoin rewards, with banks opposing offerings that compete with traditional deposit bases.
Ripple expands stablecoin payments platform for banks and fintechs. Platform upgrade supports collection, custody, conversion, and payout of stablecoins. Aims to reduce reliance on pre-funded accounts and correspondent banking networks. Ripple USD (RLUSD) supply reaches $1.5 billion.
Trump administration is pursuing regulatory clarity for crypto via executive actions and agency rulemaking, bypassing legislative gridlock. SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig are expected to harmonize crypto regulations, potentially leading to finalized rules by Spring 2027. New SEC/CFTC rules could enable broader registration for exchanges and allow token sales with revenue distribution rights. The administration aims to create a stable regulatory environment that could last for several years, providing significant whitespace for industry growth.
Bitcoin rose Tuesday, outperforming U.S. stocks amid Middle East conflict uncertainty. Bitcoin recovered from intraday lows, trading around $68,783. Rising oil prices and potential inflation support Bitcoin's 're-inflation' narrative. Gold and silver declined, underperforming Bitcoin.
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