- •$DOT nears a critical $5 resistance after breaking above the 20-week moving average, signaling strong uptrend momentum.
- •Recent fundamentals include a hard-capped supply at 2.1 billion DOT and biennial emission reductions, shifting toward deflationary dynamics.
- •ETF approval odds at 90% by November and pUSD stablecoin launch could propel $DOT toward $13.90 highs in 2025.
Polkadot ($DOT), the interoperable blockchain powerhouse, is stirring bullish sentiment as it teeters on the brink of a major technical breakout. Trading at $4.26 on October 4, 2025, with a 4.45% daily gain, $DOT has surged 6% in recent sessions following a decisive breach of its 20‑week moving average (MA). Veteran trader Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) highlighted this setup in a widely viewed post, noting the token’s position in a robust uptrend and calling for a push above $5 to confirm the move.
This technical pivot arrives amid transformative fundamental shifts for Polkadot in 2025. The network’s landmark upgrade, rolled out earlier this year, introduced Asynchronous Backing for faster block production, Agile Coretime for flexible resource allocation, and Elastic Scaling to handle surging demand—core pillars enhancing throughput and developer appeal. Adding fuel, Referendum 1710 capped total DOT supply at 2.1 billion tokens, with emissions halving every two years starting March 2026, fostering a deflationary model that contrasts prior inflationary pressures. These changes, coupled with Asset Hub’s EVM and Solidity support plus the Polkadot Virtual Machine (PVM), position DOT as a Web3 infrastructure leader, drawing parallels to Ethereum’s modular evolution.
Market dynamics amplify the optimism. Analysts peg a 90% chance for Polkadot ETF approval by November, potentially unlocking institutional inflows akin to Bitcoin’s post‑ETF boom. The pUSD stablecoin vote, aimed at native DeFi integration, further bolsters ecosystem utility. Technically, $DOT’s MACD crossover and rising EMAs underscore buying pressure, with volume spiking 5× during the recent rally to $4.11. Fibonacci levels point to $4.30 as the immediate target, but a sustained close above $5 could target the 50% retracement at $14.04. Yet, risks linger: a failure at $5 might retrace to $3.94 support, where 61.8% Fibonacci aligns with the 50‑day MA.
Broader market consolidation in ETH and BTC could delay altcoin fireworks, but Polkadot’s high GitHub activity and Binance traction signal resilience. For investors, $DOT embodies the intersection of tech upgrades and tokenomics reform—a classic setup for outsized gains in the ongoing bull cycle. Watch exchange flows and referendum outcomes closely; this could be Polkadot’s redemption arc.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.