Crypto analyst StephIsCrypto has highlighted a divergence forming between XRP’s market price and the Crypto Fear and Greed Index.
His analysis shows that while XRP has been recording higher highs in recent months, the sentiment index has been moving in the opposite direction, setting lower highs. This divergence was also in the 2020–2021 cycle, when XRP’s upward trend eventually reversed, triggering a sharp decline of over 70% from its peak.
WARNING: #XRP FEAR & GREED INDEX IS DROPPING AS PRICE CLIMBS.
THIS DIVERGENCE SIGNALLED THE TOP IN THE LAST BULL CYCLE. pic.twitter.com/rp3SkxuLRw
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) September 28, 2025
Technical Comparison of Past and Present
In the shared charts, two periods are compared side by side. The 2020–2021 segment illustrates how XRP reached higher levels before falling by more than 71%, with the Fear and Greed Index clearly showing a weakening sentiment ahead of the decline.
The current 2024–2025 chart reflects a nearly identical setup, with XRP’s price climbing to new highs while the sentiment index points downward. This resemblance to the earlier cycle is the central reason the analyst warns of potential risk.
Fear and Greed Index Signals
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index aggregates various factors to reflect overall market sentiment. According to the analyst’s chart, the index has been dropping even as XRP’s price has advanced, forming what technical analysts call a negative divergence. Historically, these divergences can indicate that momentum is fading beneath the surface of a rally. During the last cycle, such a signal preceded a reversal, and the concern now is whether the same outcome could follow.
Market Reactions to the Analysis
Some observers have echoed the warning. One user commenting on the analysis stated that price climbing while the Fear and Greed Index drops could serve as a cautionary sign.
This perspective reflects the importance many traders place on sentiment indicators as confirmation of price moves. When sentiment does not align with rising valuations, confidence in the sustainability of the trend may weaken.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Broader Implications
The analyst’s comparison does not imply certainty that XRP will repeat its 2021 collapse, but it underlines the need for careful monitoring of the market. Divergences between sentiment and price often precede periods of volatility, consolidation, or correction, though the exact outcome depends on multiple factors.
Liquidity conditions, trading volume, macroeconomic influences, and regulatory developments can help shape how this setup unfolds.
StephIsCrypto’s analysis presents a structured warning by indicating repeating signals in XRP’s chart history. The similarity between the current 2024–2025 pattern and the one that led to a sharp decline in 2021 is a factor traders are now considering. While not definitive on its own, the divergence between XRP’s higher highs and the Fear and Greed Index’s lower highs signals that caution may be warranted.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.