Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto has outlined a potential recovery projection for XRP following a notable decline experienced earlier in the month. The analyst characterized the depicted chart as a "worst-case scenario," illustrating a sharp retracement to the October 10 low before a projected rebound to new local highs. As of October 22, XRP’s market activity has closely mirrored the initial portion of this scenario, with price movements confirming the downside and positioning the asset for possible recovery momentum.
Are you mentally prepared for this possible #XRP scenario? pic.twitter.com/JiLl1l0xhL
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) October 22, 2025
Market Developments and Chart Overview
The four-hour Bitstamp chart shared by the analyst depicted XRP’s drop toward the October 10 low, followed by a substantial recovery trajectory projected to extend above $3.80. With XRP recently consolidating near the $2.6 range, the early stage of this recovery phase appears to be in focus. The earlier decline aligns with the scenario’s downside expectation, signaling that the market has already absorbed significant selling pressure. The next key question is whether XRP can sustain a reversal strong enough to validate the bullish continuation outlined in the projection.
Technical Context and Potential Recovery Path
The October 10 level has emerged as a critical technical reference point. The fact that XRP revisited and stabilized near this area suggests that it may have established a temporary base of support. According to Steph Is Crypto’s outlined structure, maintaining this level could be a prerequisite for the anticipated upward trajectory. The projected rebound implies an acceleration of buying momentum in late October, potentially driving prices toward higher resistance zones into early November if broader market sentiment remains constructive.
Investor Sentiment and Market Reactions
Reactions to the post reflected cautious optimism. A commenter suggested that XRP’s future price movements could align with the ongoing adoption of ISO 20022 standards, emphasizing that structural changes in global financial messaging may play a role in its next market phase. Another respondent indicated increased confidence by expanding their holdings, expressing a belief that current prices offer long-term value opportunities. These perspectives indicate that investor sentiment remains largely steady despite recent volatility.
Steph Is Crypto’s scenario has transitioned from theoretical to partially realized, as XRP completed the anticipated decline and entered a period of stabilization. The market’s response around the October 10 low will be key to determining whether the next leg—a recovery toward the $3 range—can materialize. For now, XRP appears to be at a technical crossroads, with traders closely observing volume strength and resistance behavior to assess whether the recovery path outlined by the analyst begins to take shape in the final weeks of October.