LUNC price has quietly put together an unexpected bounce over the past week, climbing from around $0.000026 to above $0.00008 — roughly a 150% move that stands out after months of heavy selling. The shift comes as downside pressure finally appears to be easing, with LUNA and USTC also seeing speculative inflows that have revived interest across the Terra ecosystem.
The fundamentals remain shaky, but the recent price behaviour suggests the market may be stabilising after a long period of exhaustion—and this sets the stage for a deeper look at whether a true higher-timeframe reversal is forming.
Early Bullish Intent and Conditions for Market Structure Shift Confirmation
LUNC is showing its first signs of bullish displacement, hinting at a possible shift in order flow. However, these signals remain preliminary and require validation. The key trigger is a monthly close above the Market Structure Shift (MSS) level at $0.00007300. A confirmed MSS would establish a higher-timeframe trend reversal, unlock bullish Points of Interest (POIs), and open continuation setups through Breaker Blocks, Order Blocks, or Fair Value Gaps.
Only after this confirmation can price realistically pull toward buyside liquidity at $0.00017980 and the larger draw at $0.00028000 — a potential 288% expansion.
Technical Analysis: Structure, Levels, and Liquidity Zone
LUNC has broken out of a long-standing falling wedge on the weekly timeframe — its first meaningful structural break in months. The breakout was supported by a sharp surge in volume, indicating genuine market participation rather than a thin liquidity spike. Price has also reclaimed the 50-week moving average, a level it consistently struggled with throughout mid-2024 and 2025, which now acts as short-term support.
The next major hurdle sits at $0.00007338, a key HTF level that price has tapped but not closed above. Clearing this zone would shift the weekly market structure and validate the broader reversal narrative. Above that, the next liquidity magnet is the $0.00012952 level, followed by the larger liquidity draw at $0.00027639.
Momentum indicators are improving as well: the MACD is crossing upward from deeply negative territory, suggesting the downtrend may finally be losing strength. While these signals are constructive, the lack of strong fundamentals means any upside continuation relies heavily on sustained volume and confirmation through higher closes.
Conclusion: What’s Next for LUNC Price?
LUNC is displaying its strongest macro-reversal signals in years, but technicals alone cannot override weak fundamentals and inconsistent demand. A monthly close above $0.00007300 is essential to confirm a legitimate Market Structure Shift; without it, any bounce remains vulnerable to rejection and renewed downside. If MSS validates, a controlled move toward liquidity zones at $0.00017980 and $0.00028000 becomes feasible.
However, failure to reclaim MSS places LUNC at risk of prolonged sideways accumulation or deeper retests of lower support. Traders should view this as a technically promising setup, not a guaranteed reversal.