ICE Eyes $2B Bet on Polymarket in Billion-Dollar Deal

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  ICE is reportedly in talks to invest $2B in Polymarket.
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  The deal could value Polymarket between $8B and $10B.
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  This marks a major move by Wall Street into prediction markets.

The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, is reportedly in advanced discussions to invest a massive $2 billion into Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform. If finalized, the deal could value Polymarket between $8 billion and $10 billion — a landmark moment for the industry.

Polymarket, a blockchain‑based platform, allows users to bet on real‑world outcomes, from political elections to economic trends. This potential investment by ICE marks a significant shift in how traditional financial players view decentralized and alternative data markets.

ICE, known for managing major financial exchanges globally, sees Polymarket not just as a speculative platform but as a valuable tool for gauging public sentiment and forecasting real‑world events through crowdsourced data. This move underscores how mainstream institutions are increasingly embracing crypto‑native innovations.

A Signal of Growing Institutional Confidence

Should the deal go through, it would not only inject serious capital into Polymarket but also lend institutional credibility to the prediction market space, which has long been seen as a fringe sector in the broader crypto ecosystem.

An $8–$10 billion valuation places Polymarket in the same league as major crypto firms, and could open the door for further institutional investments in the prediction market space. It also hints at how ICE and other Wall Street giants are betting big on the future of decentralized information markets.

Moreover, such a deal would likely accelerate regulatory conversations around prediction markets, which have long operated in a legal gray area. With ICE’s involvement, the industry may see a push toward clearer guidelines and broader acceptance.