Gold's approach to $4,000 per ounce has intensified risk‑on sentiment, driving Bitcoin (BTC) to new heights. This trend reflects capital rotation into both gold and cryptocurrencies, influenced by ETF inflows and macro policy shifts.
Key market players like Dan Tapiero and Arthur Hayes highlight the massive cup and handle phase for BTC, suggesting significant upside. Institutions are allocating more to Bitcoin, viewing it as a hedge alongside gold against monetary inflation.
ETF Inflows Signal Bitcoin Bullishness
Bitcoin's rise is buoyed by $3.24 billion in ETF inflows, mimicking gold's historic appeal as a hedge. JPMorgan reports a growing institutional trend of including BTC with gold for protection against fiat devaluation.
The potential technological impact includes increased on‑chain activity. Bitcoin liquidations recently amounted to $313 million, marking a momentum shift. Historical context suggests Bitcoin could outperform gold shortly after such rallies.
Bitcoin's Lag Patterns Behind Gold Surges
Historically, Bitcoin follows gold's bullish trends with a 3‑4 month lag and often outperforms by five to ten times. In past events like 2020 and 2022, gold rallies preceded Bitcoin surges. Andre Dragosch anticipates a shift to risk‑on assets like Bitcoin as the gold rally matures.
This aligns with previous cycles, where BTC gains follow gold peaks, supported by investor rotation into cryptocurrencies.
Historically, gold’s risk‑off rally leads Bitcoin by months, and monetary debasement will favor crypto risk assets shortly after gold surges. — Arthur Hayes, Co‑founder, BitMEX