Technical Analysis Points to Significant Recovery for SUI
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, technical patterns often serve as roadmaps for future price action. A recent analysis by prominent trader @CryptoBullet1 highlights a striking parallel between Sui (SUI) and The Open Network’s native token (TON), suggesting that SUI is on the cusp of a significant recovery phase. Drawing from historical charts, the comparison reveals how SUI’s current dip could be the prelude to a rally reminiscent of TON’s explosive gains. Back in June 2023, TON experienced a dramatic flash crash, plummeting sharply before entering a prolonged 50-day decline.
$SUI vs $TON
— CryptoBullet (@CryptoBullet1) December 4, 2025
In June 2023 $TON had a crazy flash crash followed by a 50-day decline until it reached the 0.5-0.618 Fib Zone (and then fully recovered)
That's exactly what we see on $SUI (and a bunch of other Alts) right now. Next phase is recovery
Target: $2.8-3.5 pic.twitter.com/ojMrK0UrCy
How TON’s 50-Day Decline and Fib Bounce Set the Blueprint
This descent bottomed out precisely at the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone—a key support level derived from the token’s prior uptrend. From there, TON staged a full recovery, surging over 500% in the months that followed, fueled by ecosystem growth and broader market momentum. Fast-forward to today, and SUI’s chart tells a nearly identical story. After a similar sharp drop, SUI has retraced to the same Fib zone, hovering around $1.68 as of early December 2025. The overlaid price action on OKX exchange charts underscores this symmetry, with both assets showing comparable volume spikes at reversal points. For SUI, this setup isn’t isolated.
SUI Hits the Same 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci Zone: A High-Conviction Signal
The layer-1 blockchain, known for its high-throughput Move-based architecture, has been building quietly amid a choppy altcoin market. Recent integrations, like enhanced DeFi protocols and cross-chain bridges, position it well for adoption spikes. If history rhymes, @CryptoBullet1 targets $2.8 to $3.5 for SUI in the near term—a potential 65-110% upside from current levels. This projection aligns with broader sentiment, as Bitcoin’s stabilization above $90,000 encourages risk-on flows into mid-cap alts like SUI. What makes this pattern compelling is its applicability beyond SUI. Numerous altcoins, including those in AI and gaming sectors, exhibit similar Fib-based consolidations.
Risks and Levels to Watch Before SUI Confirms a Breakout
As Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade effects ripple through, expect selective rotations favoring scalable L1s. However, risks remain: macroeconomic headwinds or regulatory surprises could delay the bounce. Traders should monitor volume confirmation above $1.80 for bullish conviction.
In summary, SUI’s echo of TON’s playbook signals opportunity in disguise. With fundamentals aligning and technicals flashing green, this could mark the turning point for one of 2025’s underperformers. As always in crypto, patience pairs best with due diligence—position sizing is key in these setups.