Ethereum Price Falls Below $3,720 as Whale Activity and Exchange Outflows Raise Questions

The drop comes amid heightened volatility across crypto markets, where investor sentiment remains divided despite strong on-chain fundamentals pointing to long-term strength.

According to data, Ethereum’s market capitalization stands at roughly $448 billion, with more than $39 billion traded in the past 24 hours. This marks one of the steepest daily declines for ETH in recent weeks, pulling the asset to its lowest level since early October.

Major Wallet Movements Raise Eyebrows

Analyst Ali Martinez highlighted an unusual spike in whale activity, reporting that over 230,000 ETH were moved by large holders in the past week. The transfers, likely involving exchange-linked wallets, have sparked debate over whether whales are preparing to sell or reposition their holdings.

Such large movements can indicate several scenarios—ranging from exchange rebalancing to institutional reshuffling. However, these patterns often coincide with moments of elevated uncertainty in the market, especially when prices hover around critical support zones.

Exchange Balances Continue to Shrink

Adding to the intrigue, on-chain data shows that the total Ethereum balance held on spot exchanges has dropped to just 6.7 million ETH, the lowest in years. Analyst Crypto Rover noted that this persistent decline in exchange reserves could pave the way for a future supply shock, as fewer coins remain available for immediate sale.

Typically, declining reserves are viewed as a bullish signal, suggesting that investors prefer to hold or stake their assets rather than trade them actively. However, the short-term reaction in price indicates that broader market sentiment is outweighing these long-term accumulation trends for now.

Technical Picture: Momentum Still Weak

From a technical perspective, Ethereum is facing clear headwinds. The daily chart shows ETH trading below its 50-day moving average, while the RSI at 44 reflects fading momentum. The MACD indicator also shows a mild bearish crossover, pointing to the potential for further downside if selling pressure continues.

Still, some analysts remain optimistic. Michaël van de Poppe described the current setup as an “ideal zone for accumulation,” emphasizing that ETH is retesting key historical levels against Bitcoin. He compared current altcoin valuations to market conditions seen in late 2016 or early 2020—both of which preceded strong multi-month rallies.

Long-Term Outlook: Bullish Accumulation Amid Short-Term Fear

While short-term indicators suggest more volatility ahead, Ethereum’s structural data tells a different story. The reduction in exchange-held ETH, coupled with continued staking and institutional adoption, reinforces the notion that supply-side pressure could diminish over time.

Ethereum’s next immediate supports sit around $3,650 and $3,400, with resistance seen near $3,900 and the psychological $4,000 mark. A break above this range could reignite momentum heading into November, while failure to hold above support might extend the correction phase.

Overall, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase—one that may frustrate short-term traders but could set the stage for the next leg of Ethereum’s long-term uptrend.