The native token of the XRP Ledger has been under scrutiny lately, following the launch of the canary spot XRP ETF (XRPC). While XRP has outperformed Bitcoin this year, the token’s price has not matched expectations, considering the launch of XRPC.
As of report time, XRP trades at $2.26, down 9.21% over the past 24 hours. Trading volume remains high at $7.6 billion, while market capitalization hovers around $136 billion. Over 59 billion XRP are in circulation.
Grok’s Forecast and Market Alignment
Building on this context, Elon Musk’s AI assistant, Grok, projects a target of $3.25 for XRP by November 30, 2025. This forecast cites key factors such as ETF approvals, increasing institutional adoption, and rising on-chain activity as drivers for this projection.
While not a deterministic outcome, this forecast aligns with broader market sentiment and investor expectations. Grok’s estimate provides a benchmark for evaluating near-term performance and the potential impact of upcoming catalysts within the XRP ecosystem.
ETF Momentum Fuels Bullish Sentiment
The Canary Capital spot XRP ETF (XRPC) launched on November 12, generating $58 million in day-one volume. This significant debut surpassed the Bitwise Solana ETF's performance earlier this year. Several additional XRP ETFs are currently under review by the SEC, with approvals expected under Section 8(a) rules by late November.
Analysts suggest that these upcoming ETF listings could attract approximately $5 billion in initial inflows, mirroring the substantial rally seen in Bitcoin's price following its ETF approvals in 2024. The current momentum surrounding XRP ETFs is actively driving near-term bullish sentiment and reinforcing Grok’s projected price target.
Institutional Adoption and Network Activity
The positive momentum from ETF launches is further complemented by Ripple’s ongoing efforts to expand institutional adoption. The recent Swell 2025 event highlighted the importance of ISO 20022 compliance, which facilitates faster settlements and broader financial integrations. On-chain metrics also indicate a rising demand for XRP, including the creation of over 21,000 new wallets and an increase in whale accumulation activity.
Concurrently, exchange balances for XRP continue to decline, while decentralized exchange (DEX) transactions remain at elevated levels. These trends collectively link increasing institutional engagement with tangible network growth, providing support for both analyst forecasts and Grok’s price projection.
Technical Analysis and Key Levels
Currently, XRP is consolidating within a price range between $2.40 and $2.55. Key resistance is observed near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at approximately $2.75, with immediate support identified at $2.22. A technical signal known as a death cross, where the 50 EMA falls below the 200 EMA, indicates potential short-term bearish risk. However, divergence in on-chain metrics suggests underlying accumulation is occurring.
A decisive breakout above the $2.75 resistance level could lead to price targets of $3.05 to $3.25. Conversely, a drop below the $2.22 support level might push the price towards $2.00. These technical levels are considered reflective of ETF flows, institutional activity, and fundamental network growth.
Analyst Forecasts and Sentiment
Analyst projections for XRP's price on November 30, 2025, exhibit a wide range. CoinDCX forecasts a price between $2.90 and $3.05, while CoinCodex predicts a narrower range of $2.32 to $2.34. InvestingHaven offers a broader outlook from $1.81 to $4.10, with an average of $2.91.
Further adding to the spectrum, Changelly forecasts a range of $2.38 to $2.60, and Economic Times suggests a more optimistic outlook of $3.20 to $5.00. Coinpedia and general X sentiment lean towards a range of $3.00 to $5.00. The overall consensus range among these analysts falls between $2.30 and $3.50, averaging around $2.80. Grok’s target of $3.25 aligns well with these more bullish scenarios, provided the identified catalysts continue to materialize.
End-of-Month Outlook
By combining technical analysis, the influence of ETF momentum, and ongoing adoption trends, XRP has the potential to reach $3.25 by November 30, 2025, if key catalysts align favorably. Conservative price models suggest a range of $2.32 to $2.34, while more bullish scenarios anticipate prices between $3.00 and $5.00.
Investors are advised to closely monitor ETF approvals, liquidity flows into these instruments, and critical support levels. Social sentiment among traders also reinforces this outlook, with many targeting prices between $3.10 and $5.00 over the next two weeks. This indicates a general positive sentiment within the trading community regarding XRP's near-term prospects.
In conclusion, XRP’s future price outlook appears to be shaped by the convergence of significant ETF inflows, increasing institutional adoption, and robust on-chain activity. Grok’s projection of $3.25 represents a cautiously bullish near-term scenario that reflects these positive developments.
Traders should pay close attention to key support at $2.22 and resistance at $2.75. If current momentum persists and the identified catalysts continue to materialize, XRP could achieve its projected target by November 30, 2025, offering significant upside potential while remaining sensitive to broader market volatility.