Market Consolidation and Strategic Mergers
As the crypto industry advances towards a more mature phase, industry insiders believe that digital asset treasury (DAT) companies will gradually consolidate under a few larger entities. This trend, highlighted by Coinbase’s head of investment research, David Duong, suggests that mergers and acquisitions will become a central strategy for firms aiming to strengthen their market position and attract investors. Recently, asset manager Strive announced it was acquiring Semler Scientific in an all‑stock deal, exemplifying this growing trend.
Simultaneously, these firms are shifting towards more crypto‑native investment strategies, such as generating yields through staking or engaging in DeFi looping, which involves repeatedly borrowing and repositioning assets to amplify returns. Duong notes that regulators, liquidity conditions, and market dynamics will significantly influence how these strategies evolve long‑term.
“And there’s still a lot more they can do here. I think the future will depend a lot on what happens with regulatory shifts, liquidity and market pressures to get a clearer sense of where this could all go long‑term.”
In September, Standard Chartered issued a warning that not all DATs might survive long‑term, with some firms potentially fading unless they adapt their strategies.
Crypto Treasuries Fight for Token Dominance
Data from industry reports reveal that DATs are competing vigorously for supremacy over specific tokens. Recent share buyback announcements by firms holding Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Solana illustrate this battle for market prominence. For example, Thumzup, linked to high‑profile figures, increased its Bitcoin buyback from $1 million to $10 million, while DeFi Development Corp expanded its Solana repurchase program from $1 million to $100 million.
Duong suggests that firms believe controlling dominant tokens offers a competitive edge, leading to aggressive strategies centered around size and financial engineering. However, this approach may have unintended consequences, such as triggering negative price action, as firms prioritize buybacks over fundamental growth. Some DATs have seen their valuations decline dramatically amid market saturation and investor skepticism.
Share Buybacks’ Mixed Results
Though share buybacks are a common tactic to bolster stock prices, experts warn that they do not always produce the desired effects. Market perception plays a critical role—if buybacks are seen as a sign of underlying strength, they can positively impact share prices. Conversely, if perceived as defensive or signaling weakness, they may have the opposite effect.
For example, TON Strategy Company recently announced a buyback, but its shares declined by 7.5%, illustrating the market’s cautious response. The success of such strategies ultimately hinges on how investors interpret the firm’s long‑term fundamentals.
High‑Value Bitcoin and Crypto Holdings
Many DATs have amassed substantial holdings of digital assets. Currently, over 1.4 million Bitcoin, worth more than $166 billion, are held across various firms — representing roughly 6.6% of the total Bitcoin supply. Additionally, 68 companies hold more than 5.49 million Ether, valued at over $24 billion. Solana‑related firms also hold significant positions, with over 13.4 million tokens worth more than $3 billion.
This accumulation underscores the strategic importance of cryptocurrencies within corporate treasuries, reflecting a broader trend of institutional adoption and the pursuit of long‑term value through blockchain assets.