The total cryptocurrency market capitalization is once again displaying a familiar structural setup that has historically preceded major expansion phases.
According to recent weekly analysis shared by crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, the broader market is repeating a pattern seen before every significant bull-market continuation in prior cycles.
A Familiar Structure Returns
The weekly chart shows the total crypto market cap printing another double bottom at a former resistance zone that has now flipped into support. This same structural behavior appeared at key moments in earlier cycles, just before sustained upside acceleration.
Crucially, price continues to hold above the 200-week EMA, a level that has consistently defined bullish market conditions in the past. At the same time, the 300-week moving average is acting as a macro bottom, reinforcing the idea that downside risk remains structurally limited.
There are no visible signs of distribution on the chart, nor is there evidence of a trend breakdown. Instead, the market is consolidating while maintaining its broader upward structure.
Acceptance Above the $3 Trillion Regime
One of the most important technical signals highlighted in the analysis is the market’s acceptance above the $3 trillion level. Rather than sharply rejecting this zone, price action continues to stabilize above it, suggesting that this level is transitioning into a long-term support regime.
Historically, failed markets do not behave this way. They reject prior resistance and lose trend structure. In contrast, the current setup shows acceptance, which aligns more closely with continuation phases seen in past bull cycles.
Probability Outlook Favors Continuation
Based on the recurring structure and moving average behavior, EGRAG outlines a probability-weighted outlook that leans bullish across multiple time horizons:
- •3 months: Bullish continuation or consolidation bias, estimated at 65–70%
- •6 months: Expansion phase increasingly likely, around 70–75%
- •12 months: Macro continuation with higher highs favored, roughly 75–80%
The key takeaway from the analysis is that structure outweighs short-term noise. While volatility and sentiment may fluctuate, the underlying technical framework continues to support a bull-market continuation scenario rather than a macro top.
As the analyst summarizes: markets that fail reject support. Markets that are healthy accept it. Right now, the crypto market is still accepting.