- •Coinskid says XRP is at a make-or-break structural low, and losing it could trigger major downside risk.
- •He likens the setup to ADA’s 2021 breakdown, where failure to complete a 5‑wave impulsive move led to a structural collapse.
- •While still eyeing a bullish Q4, Coinskid stresses that “price structure is boss” — if support fails, bullish scenarios are invalidated.
Popular crypto analyst Coinskid has reiterated the importance of a key structural low in XRP’s price action, warning that if the level is lost, the asset could face serious downside risk.
“I have been telling you for a long time now how important that low is on XRP. If it is lost, it could mean XRP is in a world of trouble and changes the game completely after a 3‑wave move up and not an impulsive move up,” Coinskid explained.
Lessons From Cardano’s 2021 Breakdown
Drawing comparisons to Cardano’s price action in 2021, the analyst pointed out that ADA failed to complete a five‑wave impulsive structure before breaking down.
Instead, it posted three higher highs that proved to be bull traps before losing its structural low a few weeks later. According to Coinskid, XRP could face a similar scenario if its current structural support is breached.
#xrp / #usd – weekly
I have been telling you for a long time now how important that low is on #xrp if it it is lost it could mean #xrp is in a world of trouble and changes the game completely after a 3 wave move up and not an impulsive move up.
We can see something quite… pic.twitter.com/V7NrTwDAj0
— CoinsKid (@Coins_Kid) September 30, 2025
Structure Over Sentiment
Coinskid emphasized that “price structure is BOSS.” While he is still looking for a bullish Q4 finish for XRP, he cautioned that a loss of structural support would invalidate this outlook.
“This is currently not my primary outlook, as this impulsive wave top is missing characteristics of the top, but remember, price structure is boss. Lose the low, down you go,” he warned.
Community Pushback and Optimism
Not all members of the XRP community agree with the bearish comparison to ADA. Some argue that broader crypto market conditions are significantly different today.
Channel Master Analysis pushed back, noting:
“September 2021 was a crash, starting generally, and it was after the alt season. So you expecting XRP below $1.90 is not realistic because the crypto market conditions are not the same…. DOT.”
Meanwhile, Altcoin Piooners highlighted strength in XRP’s current structure and technicals:
“Spot on! XRP ~$2.88 holding that key low firm—structure boss for Q4 blast to $3.50 short‑term, unlike ADA’s ’21 trap. RSI ~55 (coiling bull), MACD cross‑firing. Long vibes, stop under $2.80. NFA!”
Make or Break for XRP
The analyst stressed that his VIP community had been monitoring this potential setup since August, calling it a “make or break” moment for XRP.
While optimism remains for a continuation of the impulsive wave higher, traders are being urged to keep a close eye on support levels, as losing them could change the broader market structure entirely.