Bulls and bears are arm-wrestling around $111,166 after a daily close at $112,906. Lower timeframes lean bearish, the daily is neutral-bearish (below EMA20, above EMA200), and the crowds split between “buy the dip” and “save your chips.” Perfect stage for a little strategy theater.
Tonight’s Tease: “The Three Doors”
We’ve placed three invisible “prize doors” on the chart. If price knocks, the plan springs into action—no overthinking, just rules.
- •Door #1 — $110,600
The nudge. If price brushes this step and momentum isn’t falling off a cliff (1H RSI > 30, vol gate inside ≤12%), we test the waters. - •Door #2 — $109,900
The confluence door (hello, daily EMA200). If this one opens, it’s where serious dip-hunters usually leave footprints. - •Door #3 — $108,500
The trap-door for capitulation wicks. Enter only if we see a quick dunk plus a tiny spark of 1H bullish divergence. Best R:R—but it asks for courage.
The Red Line You Don’t Cross
Every good treasure map has a skull mark: ~$108,270. Fall below it after entries and we step back—cleanly. No drama, no diamond-hands cosplay.
The Three Launchpads (When Entries Land)
If any “door” fills, our exits are pre-pegged to momentum acceleration:
- •Launchpad A: Entry +3% → skim gains, push risk to breakeven
- •Launchpad B: Entry +7% → scale again, trail by ~1.5× ATR
- •Launchpad C: Entry +12% → let the rest fly, stop trails under prior 4H swing
The No-Fun Zone (Avoid This Hallway)
If price paces between $110.8k–$111.8k with RSI < 45 and MACD flat, that corridor is booby-trapped with whipsaws. We wait at the edges instead—$109.5k for dip-hunters, $112.8k+ for breakout chasers.
The Plot Twist: When Bulls Take the Pen
If we get a 1H close above EMA20 and a 4H MACD cross-up, we’re allowed a small “victory add”—tight stop below the breakout candle, same three launchpads.
BTC’s playing keep-away under the daily EMA20. We’ve mapped three entry doors, a hard red line, and three launchpads for exits. No heroics inside the chop corridor; we act at the edges or on confirmed momentum.
Curious where your entries and exits would land on the live chart? Stick around—tomorrow’s chapter reveals which door BTC knocked on first.


