Key Trends in Bitcoin's Response to FOMC Meetings
The cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, and Bitcoin ($BTC) traders are uncovering intriguing patterns that could shape future strategies. Recent analysis by @ali_charts on X highlights a striking trend: out of the six Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2025, five have coincided with Bitcoin corrections, with only one sparking a short-term rally. This data, visualized in a detailed chart spanning January to October, underscores a potential bearish reaction following these pivotal monetary policy announcements.
- •Five of six 2025 FOMC meetings led to Bitcoin price corrections.
- •Only one meeting in early May caused a 15% Bitcoin rally.
- •Traders watch support at $109K and resistance near $125K for volatility.
Historical Price Drops and the May Outlier Rally
The chart, created with TradingView, tracks Bitcoin’s price movements against key FOMC dates, revealing significant drops such as a 27% correction in late January and a 14% dip in mid-March. These corrections suggest that while the market may anticipate FOMC decisions with optimism, the reality often triggers sell-offs. The lone rally in early May, a 15% upswing, stands as an outlier, hinting at the complexity of crypto’s response to macroeconomic events.
Out of the six FOMC meetings held so far this year, five have coincided with Bitcoin $BTC corrections, while only one resulted in a short-term rally. https://t.co/eLsDxILIvGpic.twitter.com/JLxf6J1uIy
— Ali (@ali_charts) October 29, 2025
Leveraging FOMC Data for Trading Strategies
This pattern has sparked lively debate among traders. Some, like @BunnyyyTradess, note the consistency of short-term pullbacks, while others, such as @AltcoinPiooners, point to Bitcoin’s resilience, with support levels holding firm around $109,000. The prevailing sentiment leans toward caution, with suggestions to “buy the rumor, sell the news” as the next FOMC meeting approaches. With Bitcoin hovering near $115,000, the market is poised for potential volatility.
For investors, this correlation offers a tactical edge. Monitoring FOMC announcements could help anticipate price swings, though past performance is no guarantee of future results. As the Fed’s policies continue to influence global markets, Bitcoin’s dance with these events will remain a critical focal point for the crypto community.