Dynamics Driving Bitcoin’s Breakthrough
As buying depth increased in both spot and derivative exchanges, a weakening negative trend in the weekly MACD indicates eased pressure. In the monthly timeframe, the RSI is far from the warming levels seen in previous cycle peaks. Analysts highlighted that a close above $118,000 sets the stage for a $120,000 test, with the 132,000–135,000 range being the next major resistance zone.
With liquidity conditions broadening throughout the year and gold gaining value as a safe haven, demand for digital scarce assets is being supported. Within the blockchain, high-balance wallets adding more and increasing stablecoin inflows are providing tangible clues about the demand profile behind the breakthrough.
The timing of the rise coincides with the opening of the fourth quarter. Among market participants, individual investors, professional traders, and institutional intermediaries are prominent. The process advanced through technical confirmation triggered by the price settling above $118,000, improved sentiment, and increased cash inflows.
Altcoins Begin to Follow the Surge
Following Bitcoin’s rise, the total market cap has returned to the $4 trillion threshold. Ethereum has surpassed $4,300, XRP has recovered to $2.96, BNB crossed the $1,000 threshold, and Solana has settled above $221. Cardano has entered a gradual improvement mode following end-of-summer weakness.
In line with the model highlighted in past cycles, it is expected that capital flow will shift from Bitcoin’s strengthening to select large altcoins and then to mid-segment coins. During the fourth quarter, where transactions are concentrated, the market may attempt a broad-based rally.
In the short term, profit-taking and a possible test of the breakout around $120,000 are conceivable. For sustainability, the continuation of stablecoin inflows, balanced funding rates, and the liquidity of the order book not falling apart is important. From a risk management perspective, proceeding with gradual trading strategies and clear levels is prominent.