Bitcoin’s recent price ascent has ushered in a profitable phase for short-term traders, reversing weeks of selling at a loss. With Bitcoin’s value inching closer to a remarkable $97,000, propelled by growing ETF investments and significant movements by large holders, the question looms: Is this the beginning of a new rally?
How Have Traders Benefited from Bitcoin’s Rise?
Data from CryptoQuant indicates a positive shift, with the Short-Term Holder Profit and Loss to Exchanges metric climbing above zero. This suggests that traders who acquired Bitcoin within the last 155 days are now emulating profitable trades on the exchanges. Previously, this cohort had been offloading Bitcoin at a loss, but the recent upswing in prices has changed the landscape.
What Factors Are Influencing Bitcoin’s Surge?
The heightened activity in Bitcoin’s market has brought substantial gains in liquidity. After achieving the $97,000 milestone this week, Bitcoin has settled around $95,000, allowing investors to maneuver their positions with minimal price disruption.
Notably, spot Bitcoin ETFs have become a critical support mechanism. According to Sosovalue data, spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $100 million in net inflows on January 15th, continuing a streak of positive movement spanning four days. Since January 12th, total ETF inflows have reached $1.8 billion, after previously witnessing a $1.3 billion outflow.
Ki Young Ju, founder of CryptoQuant, highlights that major players, rather than individual investors, are driving the activity in markets. An examination of average order sizes in both spot and futures markets points to significant “whale” involvement in the buying pressure.
In parallel, news of prominent U.S. banks planning to extend crypto custody services has injected further confidence into the market, spotlighting an uptick in institutional interest.
Recent movements have sparked pivotal dynamics in the market, with short-term investors benefiting from:
- •A 6% increase over four days and a 5.6% rise over the week, enhancing selling conditions for traders previously in the red.
- •A net inflow of $100 million into Bitcoin ETFs, promoting market stability.
- •Heightened trading activity from large holders indicating strong market confidence.
This shift to profitability for short-term Bitcoin traders marks a crucial turning point. Historically, such phases often lead to increased volatility and more pronounced profit-taking. ETF inflows, coupled with whale activity, seem to undergird the rally. However, potential selling around the $95,000-$97,000 range could induce short-term market fluctuations. Exercise of cautious optimism remains advisable for those navigating these developments.