Analyst to XRP Holders: It’s Only Over When This Happens

The crypto market is gripped by a resurgence of fear around XRP, and yet, amid the panic, a seasoned analyst delivers a contrarian message: the moment you surrender might mark the end—not the reversal.

According to crypto analyst Steph, now is one of those junctures. He reminds holders that when sentiment plunges and chart patterns recall past collapses, it may not be “over” for XRP; it could be the calm before a rebound.

Steph points to the 2017 run where XRP surged from fractions of a cent to over $2 in a matter of months, even after widespread “it’s over” declarations. His thesis: if you keep holding, the story may not be finished yet.

Echoes of 2017: A Historical Precedent

In 2017, XRP began the year at roughly $0.006 USD, and by December it had climbed toward $2–$3, representing gains of over 30,000%. That explosive rise came after periods of doubt and market fatigue.

What matters is that the environment of extreme fear preceded the breakout. Steph argues the market today reflects a similar visitor: fear is high, sentiment is low, and many are shouting “it’s over”. Yet history shows that such moments can flip.

Sentiment & Technical Signals: Watch the Thresholds

Steph highlights two connected signals. First: sentiment. Fear-and-greed measures are headed toward rock bottom for XRP-related assets. When the crowds exit, contrarians note the opportunity. Second: technical structure.

Steph specifically warns that the key moment will be when you sell. He’s referenced the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) for XRP, noting that prior weeks below this line preceded major drops. The implication: the threshold between “it’s over” and “just beginning” may hinge on whether holders capitulate or stay in.

Why “It’s Over When You Sell” Matters

Steph’s catch-phrase is deceptively simple: the only time the rally ends for you is when you exit. In plain terms, selling in a panic transforms a potential rebound into a personal defeat. By contrast, staying the course (or at least not panicking out) preserves optionality.

The current climate, Steph argues, is more about shadowing the prior cycle than copying it exactly—but the psychology is the same. When everyone says “game over,” someone still holds the ticket.

Balanced Context: Risks Remain

But this isn’t blind optimism. Even Steph has pointed out clear caveats: XRP must hold critical support levels—especially that 200-week SMA—to keep the bullish thesis alive. And external risks remain: regulatory headwinds, macro shocks, or unexpected partner setbacks could undo even the best chart. The past doesn’t guarantee the future.

In short, unless you sell, the opportunity may still be alive for XRP. Steph contends that the moment many think “it’s over” might instead mark the moment a new chapter begins. For long-term holders prepared to endure fear, the question isn’t if the story continues, it’s when.