The XRP market is approaching a decisive phase after more than a year of vertical accumulation. Technical and fundamental indicators now align to suggest a potential long-term breakout. ChartNerd’s latest Fibonacci analysis gives a detailed roadmap of where XRP could move next.
ChartNerd’s Fibonacci Extension Targets
Renowned market analyst ChartNerd shared a clear Fibonacci extension model on X, defining three crucial upside targets for XRP. According to his projection, the 1.272 extension aligns with $8, the 1.414 level targets $13, and the 1.618 extension points to $27.
These price levels represent measured expansions from XRP’s long-term accumulation base. Each target reflects a calculated stage of momentum continuation. The Fibonacci model, a trusted tool in technical analysis, helps identify natural zones where trends extend or reverse.
ChartNerd’s setup combines multi-year swing data and consistent structure, showing that XRP may be completing a long re-accumulation phase.
$XRP holders.. FIB extension targets are as follows: 1) 1.272 = $8 2) 1.414 = $13 ✅ 3) 1.618 = $27 ✅ Tieing up with recent developments and acquisitions, alongside vertical accumulation for 12months, FA and TA point to all of them being possibilities. #NFA 🎯 — 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) October 31, 2025
Current Price and Market Structure
As of report time, XRP trades around $2.50. Daily trading volume stays robust above $2 billion, indicating sustained investor interest despite low volatility.
The RSI sits near 45, a neutral region that indicates room for a potential upside swing. If XRP breaks above its local resistance, a larger impulse wave could begin to form. The $8 level, based on Fibonacci analysis, could serve as a key confirmation zone for a breakout.
Further strength could push the asset to $13, while a full momentum expansion could test $27 over a longer horizon.
Fundamental Catalysts Supporting the Bullish Setup
Ripple’s ecosystem developments align strongly with ChartNerd’s bullish technical structure. The company launched RLUSD, its institutional stablecoin, in December 2024 to deepen liquidity within the XRP Ledger.
Ripple’s acquisition of custody and payment infrastructure firms strengthens its institutional on-ramp strategy. Additionally, the XRPL EVM sidechain enables Ethereum-compatible smart contracts, opening new DeFi and liquidity opportunities.
These advancements support long-term transactional demand for XRP and reinforce its position as a cross-border bridge asset.
On-Chain and Investor Sentiment Trends
On-chain data shows steady accumulation by large holders over the past twelve months. Whale wallets continue to grow their positions, signaling confidence in the asset’s long-term value.
However, daily active address counts have fluctuated, showing inconsistent network usage. A sustained increase in network activity would provide fundamental validation for a move toward higher Fibonacci targets.
Risk Considerations and Market Caution
While the setup is promising, risks remain significant. Any sharp decline in global liquidity could weaken momentum before confirmation.
Regulatory pressure or reduced institutional inflows could also delay bullish projections. If XRP fails to hold key supports, the technical structure may lose credibility.
A Conditional Yet Powerful Bull Case
ChartNerd’s Fibonacci roadmap—$8, $13, and $27—offers a disciplined framework for tracking XRP’s next expansion phase. Ripple’s growing ecosystem, institutional focus, and stable liquidity base provide a credible foundation for this outlook.
Still, these targets represent possibilities, not guarantees. Sustained volume, positive on-chain signals, and continued product adoption will decide whether XRP meets ChartNerd’s projections.