XRP's Technical Pattern and Historical Comparisons
XRP has recently fallen below the Gaussian channel once again, prompting comparisons to previous market cycles that historically preceded significant price movements. A cryptocurrency analyst, Steph Is Crypto, highlighted in a recent video that a similar pattern was observed at the commencement of bear markets in 2018, 2022, and 2024.
The analyst stated, "This is not bullish," recalling that past breaks below the channel have historically confirmed downward trends. During the 2018 breakdown, XRP experienced a substantial decline of 74.55%. In 2022, the cryptocurrency saw a decrease of 61.27%. The instance in 2024 resulted in a more modest 16.66% drop before its price quickly rebounded. Each of these declines occurred after an initial move below the Gaussian channel, a tool frequently utilized by traders to identify market momentum and potential trend reversals.
#XRP Bear Market Signal pic.twitter.com/v9lIyXi0sw
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) November 10, 2025
Projected Price Movements for XRP
At the time of the analysis, XRP was trading at $2.28. If historical percentage declines were to repeat, XRP could potentially fall to approximately $0.58 following a 74.55% drop, to $0.88 after a 61.27% fall, or to $1.90 in the event of a 16.66% pullback. These projections suggest that the asset might enter a price range consistent with previous corrective phases.
However, XRP's recovery observed in 2024 indicates that temporary dips below the Gaussian channel do not necessarily signify prolonged weakness in the market.
Potential for a Significant Recovery
Following its 16.66% decline in 2024, XRP experienced a remarkable rebound, surging by more than 500% to reach $3.39 by January 2025. This rally surpassed broader market expectations at the time and underscored XRP's capacity for rapid price recoveries once bearish sentiment begins to dissipate.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Applying a similar percentage increase to XRP's current trading level suggests that, if historical patterns were to repeat, a 500% surge from $2.28 could project a potential move towards approximately $13.68. While such gains remain speculative, this comparison highlights how XRP has historically transitioned from deep corrections to strong upward trends within relatively short timeframes.
Market Outlook and Future Trends
Steph Is Crypto's assessment emphasizes the critical importance of observing XRP's short-term technical structure rather than assuming a predetermined outcome. The future trajectory of XRP, whether it aligns with the patterns seen in 2018 and 2022 or mirrors the 2024 recovery, will largely depend on prevailing external market factors and broader economic conditions.
While XRP continues to exhibit technical sensitivity, it is currently displaying bullish signals following a notable rally over the past 24 hours. If the digital asset can sustain this positive momentum, its demonstrated ability to recover swiftly could potentially redefine how traders interpret such technical patterns in the future.