Crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) has presented a detailed analysis of XRP's market cycle, identifying a repeating pattern that mirrors the significant run that began in November 2024. The analyst highlighted this historical sequence and outlined two potential short-term scenarios that could unfold before XRP enters what he termed a "mark-up" phase.
XRP: A Repeating Pattern Emerges
ChartNerd's analysis is built upon a clear structural observation. XRP experienced a prolonged accumulation phase throughout much of 2024 within a wide trading range. This period was followed by a breakout in November, which propelled the price to an increase of over 500%, lasting until January 2025.
His chart indicates that a similar pattern is currently forming. The present trading range exhibits distinct support and resistance levels, with price action remaining contained within this zone. ChartNerd has marked these levels, emphasizing that a breakout will serve as confirmation for the next market phase.
$XRP: Regardless of scenarios, or how ugly/beautiful it gets, a massive mark up phase similar to November 2025 is likely between now and late 2026 –#NFA pic.twitter.com/Y0TyrIY2Ej
— ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) December 9, 2025
The analyst's post detailed two potential short-term outcomes. In the first scenario, XRP maintains its position above the key support level near the lower boundary of the current range. The second scenario involves a temporary dip below support, followed by a swift recovery. While the latter might lead to the liquidation of weaker holders, both outcomes are projected to lead towards the same target zone. ChartNerd anticipates a substantial price expansion once XRP concludes its current consolidation phase, with his chart indicating a significant gap that could target double-digit price levels.
Focus Shifts To Timing and Trigger Points
ChartNerd did not provide a precise timeline for the predicted rally. Instead, he estimated the expected expansion window to occur between the present time and late 2026. This projection is based on the duration of the current consolidation phase.
The preceding market cycle saw XRP maintain a stable range for several months prior to the November 2024 breakout. The current trading range has now reached a comparable length. ChartNerd expects the breakout to materialize once buyers regain decisive control near the midpoint of the zone.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
The chart identifies $3.65, the asset's all-time high, as the upper limit of the current accumulation band. A breakout above this level would signal the commencement of the next upward movement. The magnitude of the previous breakout lends credence to the target outlined by ChartNerd. The prior 500% expansion reached its peak within a two-month period. Based on this historical precedent, the new projection suggests the next move could potentially surpass $15 if the pattern continues to repeat.
What Comes Next For XRP?
The market is now awaiting confirmation of these predictions. XRP is currently trading at $2.08, representing an increase of nearly 1% from the previous day. This price places the asset just above the lower support line around $2. A strong rebound from this support level would position XRP for a run towards the upper boundary of its range.
XRP has maintained its trading range throughout 2025, exhibiting a pattern similar to previous cycles, and is now approaching a critical juncture that previously triggered its breakout in 2024.

