Altcoin Sherpa Sounds Alarm: PUMP and SENA Face Short-Term Headwinds Despite Bitcoin’s Resilience

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  Altcoin Sherpa revises bullish stance on $PUMP and $SENA, forecasting short-term declines amid stalled momentum.
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  Bitcoin remains a long-term buy for Sherpa, with charts showing strong support despite altcoin underperformance.
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  Broader market caution prevails in October 2025, as regulatory and macro pressures curb altcoin rotations.

In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, few voices carry as much weight as Altcoin Sherpa, the pseudonymous analyst with over 250,000 followers on X. Known for his prescient calls on altcoin cycles since entering the space in 2016, Sherpa has built a reputation for blending technical analysis with market intuition. His latest thread, posted on October 4, 2025, delivers a sobering update on two high‑profile tokens: Pump.fun’s native $PUMP and Ethena’s staked $SENA. What started as optimism for a rally has morphed into caution, signaling potential turbulence ahead for these “big cap” plays.

Sherpa’s initial thesis was straightforward: both $PUMP and $SENA, as established names in the meme coin launcher and synthetic dollar ecosystems, were primed to “run” alongside Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. $PUMP, tied to the Solana‑based Pump.fun platform that democratized memecoin launches, has been a darling of retail traders, boasting a market cap north of $1 billion at peaks. Meanwhile, $SENA, the staked variant of Ethena’s $ENA token, powers a DeFi protocol offering yield‑bearing stablecoins, attracting institutional interest with its $500 million‑plus TVL. Sherpa envisioned these as safe bets in a bull market, outpacing “useless” smaller memes.

But reality has diverged. Accompanying his posts are candlestick charts revealing the disconnect. Bitcoin’s chart shows resilient higher lows, with green support zones holding firm around $60,000, underscoring Sherpa’s enduring bullishness on BTC as the market’s anchor. In contrast, $PUMP and $SENA display weakening momentum: $PUMP’s bars cluster in a tight, descending channel, hinting at exhaustion after a summer surge, while $SENA’s volume spikes fizzle into lower highs, trapped below key resistance at $0.60. “That also hasn't been entirely true,” Sherpa admits, pointing to the lack of follow‑through. He’s now eyeing “lower for both in the short term,” potentially testing $0.004 for $PUMP and $0.50 for $SENA if BTC’s strength doesn’t spill over.

This pivot isn’t isolated. October 2025’s “UPtober” hype has faltered amid macroeconomic jitters—rising U.S. Treasury yields and regulatory whispers around DeFi—dampening altcoin liquidity. Whale accumulation in BTC persists, per on‑chain data, but alt rotations have stalled, leaving mid‑caps like these vulnerable to profit‑taking. For traders, Sherpa’s call is a reminder: even in bull markets, not all alts rise together. Long‑term, his BTC optimism holds; $PUMP could rebound on Solana’s meme frenzy, and $SENA on Ethena’s USDe expansion. Short‑term, however, patience is key—wait for those “clear indications” of structure breaks.

As altseason teases but doesn’t deliver, Sherpa’s thread underscores a timeless crypto truth: conviction must bend to evidence. With Bitcoin eyeing $70,000, will these alts catch the wave or wipe out first? Watch the charts.