Market Outlook for Altcoins
Altcoin Sherpa, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, has issued a stark warning regarding the future of altcoins in the current market cycle. He suggests that the majority of altcoins are poised for a significant downturn, with many potentially failing to recover.
Sherpa outlined three possible scenarios for the market, all of which share a common theme: a bleak outlook for most altcoins. He stated, "We’re about to see if these were just lower highs and price is going lower OR if we actually have any juice to bounce to like 100K or something. BTC would need to quickly bottom here or it + every other coin is going to die."
His analysis indicates that while Bitcoin is nearing its cycle highs, a substantial number of altcoins have already experienced sharp declines after failing to reach new peaks in tandem with Bitcoin. Sherpa's primary forecast (Scenario 1) anticipates Bitcoin rapidly ascending towards $100,000 and beyond, while altcoin-to-Bitcoin trading pairs continue to deteriorate. Scenario 2 presents a temporary reprieve with a retracement and bounce in altcoins, followed by a final capitulation phase. The most severe outcome, Scenario 3, involves a sharp drop in Bitcoin that pulls all cryptocurrencies down before an eventual bull market resurgence.
We're about to see if these were just lower highs and price is going lower OR if we actually have any juice to bounce to like 100k or something. $BTC would need to quickly bottom here or it + every other coin is going to die. $ETH$SOL$BNB will underperform btc too. pic.twitter.com/zA4CKg63K6
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) December 5, 2025
Selective Outperformance Expected
The message for altcoin investors is harsh but consistent with Sherpa's past analyses: the "altseason" narrative is effectively over for the vast majority of the market. Only a select group of cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, Solana, and a few fundamentally strong large-cap altcoins, are predicted to outperform Bitcoin in this cycle. All other altcoins are expected to either stagnate or decline significantly in value.
This forecast aligns with a growing sentiment that Bitcoin's dominance is reasserting itself after a brief dip in mid-2024. With ongoing constraints on macro liquidity and a lack of widespread retail enthusiasm, speculative trading in smaller altcoin projects is perceived to be running out of momentum.
Implications for Investors
For Bitcoin proponents, this outlook suggests a strong possibility of Bitcoin reaching six-figure valuations in the near future. Conversely, for the numerous altcoin projects that experienced substantial gains in 2021 and early 2024, the advice from Sherpa is direct: "SET H SOSL SNB" – stop loss, sell now, buy back later. This pragmatic approach reflects a history of Sherpa's direct communication when market charts indicate bearish trends.

